Space News from SpaceDaily.com
Amazon risks tipping from forest to savanna: study
Paris, Oct 5 (AFP) Oct 05, 2020
As much as 40 percent of the Amazon risks crossing a tipping point from rainforest to savanna as greenhouse gas emissions reduce the rainfall needed to sustain its unique ecosystem, scientists said Monday.

Forests are particularly sensitive to changes that affect rainfall for extended periods, and trees may die off if areas go too long without rain.

This can have significant knock-on effects on nature -- with the loss of tropical habitats -- as well as the climate as shrinking forests lose their ability to absorb manmade emissions.

It also increases the risk of fire.

A team of Europe-based scientists used the latest available atmospheric data to simulate how tropical forests might respond to changing rainfall levels.

In particular, they simulated the effect of continued emissions from burning fossil fuels between now and the end of the century.

They found that rainfall in the Amazon is so low already that up to 40 percent of it risks tipping over into a savanna-like environment, with far fewer trees and far less biodiversity.

Lead author Arie Staal, from the Stockholm Resilience Centre, said that rainforests normally create their own rainfall through water vapour, sustaining tree levels and even extending their reach.

But the inverse is also true: when precipitation levels fall, the forests begin to disappear.

"As forests shrink, we get less rainfall downwind and this causes drying, leading to more fire and forest loss: a vicious cycle," Staal said.


- Species 'forever lost' -


The study, published in the journal Nature Communications, explored the resilience of tropical rainforests under two additional extreme scenarios.

In the first, researchers looked at how fast the world's forests would grow back if they suddenly disappeared.

The second studied what would happen if rainforests covered all tropical regions on Earth.

They found that many of the world's rainforests would struggle to grow back once lost, leading to a far wider savanna-like mix of woodland and grassland.

In addition to the Amazon loss, the team found that the forest in the Congo basin was at risk of changing to savanna, and that large swathes would not grow back once gone.

"We understand now that rainforests on all continents are very sensitive to global change and can rapidly lose their ability to adapt," said Ingo Fetzer, also from the Stockholm Resilience Centre.

"Once gone, their recovery will take many decades to return to their original state," he said.

"And given that rainforests host the majority of all global species, all this will be forever lost."

pg/mh/gd

AMAZON.COM


ADVERTISEMENT




Space News from SpaceDaily.com
The Race Is On: Artemis, China and Musk Turn the Moon Into the Next Strategic High Ground
First Crewed Moon Flyby In 54 Years: Artemis II
NASA confirms first flight to ISS since medical evacuation

24/7 Energy News Coverage
From Quantum Physics to Coastal Resilience Brad Bartz to Present Who Turned the Power Back On at AltaSea
Anthropic unveils new AI model as OpenAI rivalry heats up
EU nations back chemical recycling for plastic bottles

Military Space News, Nuclear Weapons, Missile Defense
Airbus and Hisdesat extend deal to market next generation PAZ-2 radar imagery
NASA backs studies to boost hypersonic flight testing
New axis grid links complex earth data in space and time

24/7 News Coverage
No fences needed: GPS collars show 'virtual fencing' is next frontier of livestock grazing
Landsat study maps boreal forest shift north
Pakistan's capital picks concrete over trees, angering residents


All rights reserved. Copyright Agence France-Presse. Sections of the information displayed on this page (dispatches, photographs, logos) are protected by intellectual property rights owned by Agence France-Presse. As a consequence, you may not copy, reproduce, modify, transmit, publish, display or in any way commercially exploit any of the content of this section without the prior written consent of Agence France-Presse.