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NUKEWARS
'Rollercoaster' Iran nuclear talks in the balance
By Danny Kemp in Brussels, Nicolas Revise and Simon Sturdee in Lausanne
Brussels (AFP) March 16, 2015


Iran lawmakers won't derail nuclear deal: official
Tehran (AFP) March 16, 2015 - Iranian MPs will not derail a nuclear deal with the West, as US lawmakers have threatened to, if the country's supreme leader gives it his backing, parliament's top official said Monday.

Speaker Ali Larijani said lawmakers and the government would be unified if an agreement gets the nod from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the final word on all policy matters in the Islamic republic.

"Parliament and the government are following the same path," Larijani told reporters.

"We don't have problems like those in the United States," he said, alluding to the split between President Barack Obama's White House and the US Congress over nuclear talks.

Hardline Iranian lawmakers have repeatedly insisted that a nuclear agreement with world powers can only be binding if it is ratified by parliament.

Some have also criticised the negotiations, saying President Hassan Rouhani's government made too many concessions under an interim deal implemented in January 2014.

But when asked if an agreement would require approval from parliament and Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Larijani said MPs would not stand in the way.

"We are together and there is coordination and consultation between government and the parliament... and all are under the supervision of the leader," he said.

Larijani lambasted a letter from Republican senators last week that said a final agreement could be rescinded by another US administration after Obama leaves the White House.

"What the US Congress did was really amateurish," Larijani said.

"Even their political experts denounced them because they undermined their own integrity. We are not going to copy their mistake."

Iran is engaged in talks with the P5+1 powers (Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States plus Germany) about its nuclear activities.

US Secretary of State John Kerry and Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif met in Switzerland at the weekend with talks breaking off Monday.

The parties aim to agree the political outlines of a comprehensive agreement by March 31, with the final details being hammered out by the end of June.

Khamenei has aired doubts about the twin deadlines, saying political and technical issues should be concluded at the same time.

Some progress has been made towards a deal in recent weeks but the two sides remain far apart on several key issues.

These include the future size of Iran's uranium enrichment capacities -- which can make nuclear fuel but also the core of a bomb -- the pace at which sanctions would be lifted and the accord's duration.

Iran denies that it is seeking nuclear weapons, insisting it wants an expanded atomic programme for civilian energy purposes.

Iran nuclear talks hung in the balance Monday with a senior US official saying it remained unclear whether the outlines of a deal could be agreed by a March 31 deadline.

After a five-hour meeting between US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart, the official said Iran still had "very tough choices" to make.

"Iran still needs to make some very tough and necessary choices," the official said in the Swiss city of Lausanne where the crucial round of talks was being held this week.

"We still hope to be able to get there but quite frankly we still don't know if we will be able to," the official said on condition of anonymity, likening the talks to a "rollercoaster".

Iran and six world powers are pushing to reach by the end of the month what the official called a "political framework that addresses the major elements of a comprehensive deal".

Such an accord would reduce in scale Iran's nuclear programme in order to ease fears that it might develop atomic weapons in exchange for sanctions relief. A full deal is due by July.

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif later flew to Brussels for talks with the foreign ministers of France, Germany, Britain and the diplomatic chief of the EU, Federica Mogherini.

Mogherini described the meeting as "useful" in a statement late Monday, which also said that the European diplomats had stressed "their determination to work towards reaching agreement with Iran".

Speaking ahead of the talks, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said: "There have been advances but there are still important points which have not been resolved and we will see if we can move forward."

Zarif was due to return to Lausanne and hold further talks with Kerry on Tuesday, when political directors from the other five powers -- Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany -- will start to arrive.

- Rouhani thaw -

The United States and Iran have not had diplomatic relations for 35 years but the 2013 election of President Hassan Rouhani resulted in a minor thaw and a diplomatic push to resolve the more than decade-old nuclear standoff.

Under a landmark November 2013 interim deal with the "P5+1" powers, Tehran stopped expanding its activities in return for minor sanctions relief.

Since then the parties have been pushing for a lasting accord.

But to the alarm of Iran's foe Israel, US Republicans and Washington's Gulf allies, the US looks to have abandoned demands that Iran dismantle all nuclear activities.

Instead it appears prepared to tolerate a small programme under tight controls and potentially shipping abroad some of Iran's nuclear material, possibly to Russia.

Critics say that in theory this still leaves Iran with the possibility to get the bomb.

Iran says its nuclear programme is exclusively peaceful.

Last week 47 US Republicans took the unprecedented step of writing an open letter to Iran's leaders warning any nuclear deal could be modified by Congress or revoked by whomever succeeds President Barack Obama, a Democrat.

The Obama administration has been trying to dissuade lawmakers from passing legislation that would force the president to submit any Iran deal to Congress for approval.

- 'Long way to go' -

Speaking in Egypt over the weekend, Kerry sought to ease concerns, saying that the aim is "not just to get any deal, it is to get the right deal".

Zarif said on Sunday that "several questions need to be discussed, those where we haven't found a solution yet and also those where we have found solutions but where we need to discuss certain details."

Some progress has been made towards a deal but the two sides remain far apart on several key issues.

These include the future size of Iran's uranium enrichment capacities -- which can make nuclear fuel but also the core of a bomb -- the pace at which sanctions would be lifted and the accord's duration.

"We are closer than we were but there is still a long way to go. There are areas where we have made progress and areas where we have yet to make any progress," British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said Monday.

Two deadlines, in July and November, were missed but in view of the controversy in Washington -- and pressure in Iran on Rouhani to deliver -- extending yet again will be very tough.

Kerry, Zarif in crunch round of Iran nuclear talks
Lausanne (AFP) March 16, 2015 - Iran nuclear talks entered a critical week Monday with US Secretary of State John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart racing to find an elusive breakthrough after a negotiating marathon that began in 2013.

Time is running out, with Kerry and Mohammad Javad Zarif aiming to agree the outlines of a potentially historic agreement by the end of the month. A full accord is then due by July 1.

Both men, meeting in a luxury hotel in the Swiss lakeside city of Lausanne, are also under intense pressure from domestic hardliners worried they will give too much away.

Speaking in Egypt over the weekend, Kerry sought to ease such concerns, saying that the aim is "not just to get any deal, it is to get the right deal".

"If (Iran's nuclear programme is) peaceful, let's get it done. And my hope is that in the next days, that will be possible," Kerry told CBS television.

There were, however, "important gaps," he said.

Zarif said on Sunday that "several questions need to be discussed, those where we haven't found a solution yet and also those where we have found solutions but where we need to discuss certain details."

Kerry and Zarif met for nearly five hours on Monday, together with Iran's nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi and US Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz and then alone.

The talks broke for Zarif to travel to Brussels to meet his British, French and German counterparts and the EU representative later on Monday but he was due to return to Lausanne for more talks.

Negotiators from the other five powers involved in the talks -- Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany -- were to be involved from Tuesday, according to Iranian officials.

EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini said in Brussels before her meeting with Zarif that the talks were "entering a crucial time".

- Rouhani thaw -

The United States and Iran have not had diplomatic relations for 35 years but the 2013 election of President Hassan Rouhani resulted in a minor thaw and a diplomatic push to resolve the more than decade-old nuclear standoff.

Under a landmark November 2013 interim deal with the "P5+1" powers, Tehran stopped expanding its activities in return for minor sanctions relief.

Since then the parties have been pushing for a lasting accord.

But to the alarm of Iran's foe Israel, US Republicans and Washington's Gulf allies, the US looks to have abandoned demands that Iran dismantle all nuclear activities.

Instead it appears prepared to tolerate a small programme under tight controls and potentially shipping abroad some of Iran's nuclear material, possibly to Russia.

In theory this still leaves Iran with the possibility to get the bomb, critics say.

Iran says its nuclear programme is exclusively peaceful.

Last week 47 US Republicans took the unprecedented step of writing an open letter to Iran's leaders.

They warned that any nuclear deal could be modified by Congress or revoked "with the stroke of a pen" by whomever succeeds President Barack Obama, a Democrat.

The Obama administration has been trying to dissuade lawmakers from passing legislation that would force the president to submit any Iran deal to Congress for approval.

Obama is sure to veto this but the Republicans are trying to assemble a two-thirds majority in both houses of Congress with rebel Democrats to pass the measure and override the veto.

"Apparently the administration is on the cusp of entering into a very bad deal with one of the worst regimes in the world that would allow them to continue to have their nuclear infrastructure," Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell told CNN on Sunday.

- 'We need clarity' -

Some progress has been made towards a deal but the two sides remain far apart on several key issues.

These include the future size of Iran's uranium enrichment capacities -- which can make nuclear fuel but also the core of a bomb -- the pace at which sanctions would be lifted and the accord's duration.

"We are closer than we were but there is still a long way to go. There are areas where we have made progress and areas where we have yet to make any progress," British Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond said Monday.

Two deadlines, in July and November, were missed but in view of the controversy in Washington -- and pressure in Iran on Rouhani to deliver -- extending yet again will be very tough.

"I don't see a further extension being useful if (Iran has) not agreed to the basic formulation and the bottom line that the world requires," Obama said in February.


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