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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Don't wreck deal, US warns, as climate talks jam
by Staff Writers
Lima (AFP) Dec 12, 2014


No time to quarrel: Kerry warns of climate 'tragedy'
Lima (AFP) Dec 11, 2014 - Developing nations must cut carbon emissions even if they feel it is unfair, US Secretary of State John Kerry said Thursday, warning of climate "tragedy" if quarrelling derails a global pact.

"I know the discussions can be tense and decisions are difficult and I know how angry some people are about the predicament they've been put in by big nations that have benefitted from industrialization for a long period of time," Kerry said in Lima, where tense negotiations were under way for a world climate pact.

"But the fact is we simply don't have time to sit around, going back and forth about whose responsibility it is to act.

"It is everyone's responsibility because it is the net amount of carbon that matters, not each country's share."

UN negotiators remain deeply divided on details of a deal to limit global warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) through curbing emissions of Earth-warming greenhouse gases.

The pact must be finalized in Paris in December 2015 to take effect from 2020.

Yet nations disagree fundamentally on the principle of "differentiation" -- how to apportion responsibility for cuts.

Developing nations say the West should bear a bigger burden, having polluted their way to wealth. But rich countries point the finger at developing giants like China and India furiously burning coal to power their rapid growth.

"We have to remember that today more than half of global emissions, more than half, are coming from developing nations. So it is imperative that they act too," said Kerry.

"President Obama and I understand the way countries feel particularly about the major emitters. We get it.

"The United States and other industrial nations have contributed significantly to this problem... and we recognize the responsibility we have right now to lead the global response."

But even if the United States could eliminate domestic emissions, this would not be enough to offset carbon pollution in the rest of the world, the diplomat said. Nor would it be if China or India did so, on their own.

"It's just not enough for one country or a even few countries to reduce emissions when other countries continue to fill the atmosphere with carbon pollution as they see fit," said Kerry.

"If even one or two major economies failed to respond to this threat, it would counteract much of the good work the rest of the world does."

The Paris pact, he added, would not be "the silver bullet that eliminates this threat but I think everyone here can agree that we certainly won't eliminate it without an agreement," added Kerry.

If the negotiations fail, "future generations will judge our effort not just as a policy failure but as a massive collective moral failure of historic consequence.

"They will want to know how we together could have been so blind, so ideological, so dysfunctional and frankly so stubborn that we failed to act on knowledge that was confirmed by so many scientists."

Science says that on current emission trends the world is on target for warming of 4 C or more, bringing more floods, drought, sea-level rise, disease spread and conflicts over resources.

"We are still on a course leading to tragedy," said Kerry. "The window is closing quickly."

The United States urged developing countries Thursday to ease objections to a world deal on climate change as deadlines loomed at a 12-day UN meeting in Lima.

The talks, meant to pave the way to a landmark pact in Paris next year, are scheduled to conclude on Friday, but delegates reported deadlock and a souring mood as the final day neared.

In a speech touching on one of the thorniest issues, US Secretary of State John Kerry called on developing nations to understand they too had to curb carbon emissions even if they felt it was unfair.

"I know the discussions can be tense and decisions are difficult and I know how angry some people are about the predicament they've been put in by big nations that have benefited from industrialization for a long period of time," Kerry said.

But, "we have to remember that today more than half of global emissions -- more than half -- are coming from developing nations. So it is imperative that they act too."

If the negotiations fail, "future generations will judge our effort not just as a policy failure but as a massive collective moral failure of historic consequence," he warned.

The envisioned pact would bring all the world's nations into a single forum for cutting heat-trapping greenhouse gases blamed for damaging Earth's climate systems.

To be sealed in December 2015 and enter into force by 2020, it must ensure global warming does not exceed two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-industrial levels.

The Lima round began on December 1 on a hopeful note, following promises by China, the United States and the European Union -- the world's three biggest carbon polluters -- to tackle their emissions.

Money, too, began to flow into the Green Climate Fund, the main vehicle for channeling at least $100 billion (80 billion euros) in annual aid, promised by rich countries to climate-vulnerable nations by 2020.

But on Thursday the negotiations ground on with few signs of genuine horse-trading.

UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon urged ministers to begin "real, serious negotiations."

"We have been talking over the last two decades," said Ban. "We don't have a moment to lose."

- Logjams -

Delegates pointed to two logjams.

One is a draft blueprint for guiding negotiations up to the December 2015 finale -- a document which has ballooned as countries filed more objections and suggestions.

"We have seen the laggards throwing in language of all kinds into the negotiating document," Tony de Brum, foreign minister of the Marshall Islands, told journalists.

The other is a format for standardizing information by which countries will make carbon-cutting pledges at the heart of the 2015 accord.

Developing countries demanded pledges incorporate not just action on reducing carbon emissions, but financial help and adaptation aid to shore up climate defenses.

The sparring touched on a years-old source of friction -- how to apportion responsibility between rich and developing nations for ramping up carbon action.

Known as differentiation, it is rooted in a division of responsibilities enshrined in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change at its birth 22 years ago.

At the time, UN members were split into advanced economies, the first to burn fossil fuels to power their prosperity, and developing countries, which -- until then -- bore little blame for carbon pollution.

Europe, the United States and other advanced economies accept that some form of differentiation remains valid today.

But they argue it is senseless to shape a post-2020 deal on the basis of the world as it was in 1992.

Voracious burners of coal, developing countries now account for more than half of global emissions, a share set to rise, they argue.

The UNFCCC's meetings are notorious for textual battles and delay, in some cases prolonging closure by more than a day.

Scientists are pounding an ever-louder drumbeat of warning.

Earth is on track, they say, for warming this century of about four degrees Celsius, cursing future generations with species loss, rising seas, drought, floods and disease spread.

The head of the UN's panel of climate scientists, Rajendra Pachauri, warned Thursday that only about a thousand billion tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) can still be emitted before the targeted two degree limit is breached.

"We are all on spaceship Earth. We are now sharing this space of a thousand gigatons of CO2," he said.

"We have to divide up this space equitably and in a matter of fair and ethical considerations because otherwise we are going to exceed the two degrees."


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