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CLIMATE SCIENCE
US, China climate move signals hopeful era: experts
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Sept 3, 2016


Highlights of the climate pact ratified by US and China
Paris (AFP) Sept 3, 2016 - The United States and China on Saturday ratified a climate-change pact concluded in Paris last December, bringing it a step closer to taking legal effect.

These are the key points in the Paris Agreement:

- The goal -

Nations agreed to hold global warming to "well below" two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-Industrial Revolution levels, and to strive for 1.5 C (2.7 ) if possible.

The lower goal was a demand of poor countries and island states at high risk of climate change effects such as sea-level rise and drought.

But many experts say that even 2 C will be a tough ask. Scientists warn that on current greenhouse-gas emission rates, we are headed for a 4 C warmer world, or 3 C if countries meet their self-determined targets for cutting carbon.

- Getting there -

The world will aim for climate-altering greenhouse gas emissions to peak "as soon as possible", with "rapid reductions" thereafter.

There are no binding deadlines or goals for countries as there were in the Kyoto Protocol, whose constraints applied only to wealthy economies, but which the US did not ratify.

By the second half of this century, says the Paris pact, there must be a balance between emissions from human activities such as energy production and farming, and the amount that can be captured by carbon-absorbing "sinks" such as forests or carbon storage technology.

- Burden-sharing -

Developed countries, which have polluted for longer, should take the lead with absolute emissions cuts. Developing nations which still need to burn coal and oil to power growing populations and economies are encouraged to enhance their efforts and "move over time" to cuts.

Rich countries are required to provide support for developing nations' shift to renewable energy.

- Tracking progress -

In 2018, and every five years thereafter, countries will take stock of the overall impact of what they are doing to rein in global warming, according to the text.

In 2020, they will revisit their non-binding carbon-curbing pledges -- submitted last year to bolster the core agreement.

Some countries had set targets for 2025, and others for 2030, which will be updated five-yearly.

- Finance -

Developed countries "shall provide" funding to help developing countries make the costly shift to green energy and shore up defences against climate change impacts.

Rich nations must report every two years on their finance levels -- current and intended.

Not included in the agreement itself, but in a non-binding "decision" that accompanies it, reference is made to the $100 billion (89 billion euros) a year that rich countries had pledged in 2009 to muster by 2020 as a "floor", which means it can only go up. The amount must be updated by 2025.

- Climate damage -

Rich nations blamed for their historic contribution to carbon pollution balked at the idea of any kind of financial compensation for countries now hit by climate impacts.

But the agreement does recognise the need for "averting, minimising and addressing" losses suffered.

Climate activists and small nations at risk of global warming's direst consequences, welcomed Saturday's ratification by China and the United States of a global pact to curb planet-harming carbon emissions.

The move by the world's two largest greenhouse gas emitters brought the hard-fought agreement, concluded in Paris in December, a major step closer to taking legal effect, they said.

The previous international effort to curb reliance on planet-harming fossil fuels, the Kyoto Protocol, had excluded China and other developing nations, while the United States refused to sign up.

"It's remarkable that in a few short years the world's two leading climate antagonists have become the world's two leading climate champions," said Bob Perciasepe, president of the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions, a US-based think tank.

"The United States can no longer claim that China's inaction is an excuse to do nothing, and vice versa. With both again committing themselves to a low-carbon future, the two countries are setting an example the rest of the world can hardly ignore."

Observers urged others to follow suit, while stressing that mere ratification was not enough to meet the agreement's goals.

The Paris pact has so far been signed by 180 countries, but will only take effect after 55 nations responsible for 55 percent of greenhouse gas emissions have ratified it -- making it binding.

Depending on their constitutions, for many countries this means passing domestic legislation, In the US it can be done by executive presidential order.

- Heavy-hitters on board -

China and the United States, jointly responsible for about 38 percent of global emissions, ratified the Paris agreement on the eve of a meeting of G20 leaders meeting in Hangzhou, China, where all eyes will now be on other major economies to follow suit.

Until Beijing and Washington joined the club, 24 nations emitting just over one percent of global gases had officially acceded to the deal to cap global warming at two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-Industrial Revolution levels.

This must be achieved by replacing atmosphere-polluting fossil fuels with renewable sources -- an ambitious goal towards which most UN nations have already pledged emissions curbs.

"Today's announcement is the strongest signal yet that what we agreed in Paris, will soon have the force of law," said Mattlan Zackhras, Minister-in-Assistance to the President of the Republic of the Marshall Islands, which face the threat of climate-change induced sea-level rise.

"With the two biggest emitters ready to lead, the transition to a low-emissions, climate-resilient global economy is now irreversible."

On current country pledges, scientists expect the world to warm by 3 C or more, and more drastic measures are needed to effect a large-scale shift towards wind, solar and other sustainable energies.

"Now, other countries must act swiftly to ratify the deal, and to reduce their emissions in line with the Paris Agreement's long-term goals," said Lo Sze Ping of environmental group WWF-China.

They should also move quickly towards "increasing their current pledges."

The leadership shown by Washington and Beijing will do much to boost political momentum and goodwill, observers agreed.

"The fight against climate change remains difficult and urgent, but having heavy-hitters like China and the US on your side is extremely heartening," commented the UN Environment Programme's Erik Solheim.


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