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NUKEWARS
New US sanctions would 'unravel' Iran nuclear deal: Zarif
By Hui Min NEO
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 23, 2015


Kerry, Zarif in bilateral meeting in Davos: official
Davos, Switzerland (AFP) Jan 23, 2015 - US Secretary of State John Kerry and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif met for bilateral talks Friday on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, an official source told AFP.

"Secretary Kerry and Iranian foreign minister Zarif just concluded an hour-long meeting in Davos," a State Department source said, without providing more details.

The top-level meeting occurred as Iranian and US diplomats officially resumed talks in Switzerland on intensifying efforts to reach a deal on the future of Tehran's nuclear programme.

Two days of meetings between Iran's deputy foreign minister Abbas Araghchi and top US negotiator Wendy Sherman began Friday morning in Zurich.

EU political director Helga Schmid was also taking part in the meetings, he added.

The talks are taking place less than a week after Araghchi met with Sherman and representatives for five other global powers in Geneva in a bid to hammer out a comprehensive deal which would rein in Tehran's nuclear programme in exchange for relief from a tight network of sanctions.

Kerry and Zarif already met last week in Geneva and then again in Paris to discuss the nuclear negotiations.

Under an interim deal agreed in November 2013 by Tehran and the so-called P5+1 powers -- Britain, China, France, Russia, the United States plus Germany -- Iran has frozen its uranium enrichment in exchange for limited sanctions relief.

But two deadlines for a full accord cutting off Iran's alleged ambition to build an atomic bomb have been missed.

Among issues complicating negotiations are hardliners in Washington and Tehran who appear willing to torpedo the efforts.

The new Republican-controlled US Congress is considering a fresh sanctions bill, despite strong opposition from President Barack Obama, who has threatened to veto any such legislation.

Speaking in Davos, Zarif warned the US Congress on Friday against imposing new sanctions, saying this would lead to a collapse of negotiations.

If a sanctions bill does go through, some Iranian lawmakers have hinted they will push to retaliate by resuming unlimited uranium enrichment.

Top European diplomats on Thursday appealed for US lawmakers to hold off on the threatened new sanctions, pleading for time to allow the nuclear talks to succeed.

The US government's efforts to push towards a deal have meanwhile been complicated further by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's plans to address Congress next month.

Netanyahu has called Iran's nuclear push the most "vital national security challenge" his nation faces, and Obama's allies fear his trip could be used by Israel and the Republicans to rally opposition to a nuclear deal.

US says chance of Iran deal '50/50'
Washington (AFP) Jan 23, 2015 - The White House on Friday admitted that the chances of reaching a deal to curb Iran's nuclear program were only 50 percent.

"The likelihood of success in these diplomatic talks are at best 50/50," said White House spokesman Josh Earnest.

The comments come as President Barack Obama's administration comes under sustained pressure from Republican opponents and regional allies in Israel and Saudi Arabia to take a harder line on Iran.

The Republican-controlled US Congress wants to deepen sanctions against Iran, a move that Obama has threatened to veto.

The White House says talks must be given time to succeed, but must not be used by Iran "as cover" to ease mounting diplomatic pressure.

The complex agreement would see Iran subjected to intrusive monitoring and curbs on operations that could lead to the creation of a nuclear weapon.

Iran warned the US Congress on Friday against imposing new sanctions, saying this would lead to a collapse of negotiations over Tehran's controversial nuclear programme.

"We have an agreement that has the prospect of reaching a comprehensive agreement," Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif told a meeting of political and business leaders in Davos.

"If someone comes to torpedo (the agreement), I believe (the person or entity) should be isolated by the international community, whether it's the US Congress or anybody else.

"Now is the time for the international community to stand firm against (the threat of new sanctions)that will unravel an extremely important achievement."

Republicans controlling Congress are seeking to shape US policy on Iran by two possible paths.

One tactic envisages adoption of a bill requiring President Barack Obama to submit any nuclear accord reached with Iran to Congress for approval.

Another strategy is based on economic sanctions that would be activated if Tehran refuses to sign a final deal or is seen as violating its terms. The Congress is expected to begin debate on possible new embargoes within weeks.

Obama has threatened to veto any move by Congress to adopt new sanctions.

But Zarif warned that Iran's president did not have similar powers over parliament.

"In our constitution, our president does not have the power to veto parliament (which has) threatened publicly" to take retaliatory action against any move by Congress.

"They will adopt something requiring the government... to increase our (uranium) enrichment," said Zarif.

Any resumption of enrichment would essentially flout an interim accord done between Iran and major world powers in November 2013 offering Tehran partial sanctions relief in exchange for a freeze by Iran of contentious parts of its nuclear activities.

Iran and the so-called P5+1 group -- the United States, Britain, China, France, Germany and Russia -- have been seeking a comprehensive accord that would prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb in return for an easing of economic sanctions.

Iran says its nuclear program only has civilian aims and that there is no plan to build a bomb.

Two earlier deadlines passed without the final deal and a third deadline is looming on July 1.

A flurry of talks have been held since last week, and Iranian and US diplomats resumed talks in Switzerland on Friday.

-- Zarif, Kerry in Davos --

Both Zarif and US Secretary of States John Kerry are in Davos but it was unclear if another round of talks is planned.

The Iranian minister said Tehran is still "prepared to go for a deal" as "confrontation doesn't help anyone".

"There are all sorts of possibilities and I don't want to entertain them because I believe there is a possibility, a very good probability of reaching an agreement and we should not waste that opportunity."

Past negotiations have stumbled over Iran's insistence that it retain the right to enrich some uranium -- which can in some cases be used to make an atomic bomb -- for what it says is its civilian nuclear programme.

There has also been disagreement over global sanctions, with Tehran calling for an end to the crippling regime while the US has insisted on a temporary, gradual suspension.

Zarif on Friday insisted that "the policy of sanctions has not produced positive results".


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