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New N. Korea missiles unlikely to doom talks, experts say
By Thomas WATKINS
Washington (AFP) July 31, 2018

UN chief to discuss North Korea in Japan
United Nations, United States (AFP) July 31, 2018 - UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres is expected to discuss the North Korea crisis with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe during his visit to Japan next week, a UN spokeswoman said Tuesday.

Guterres will be in Tokyo for talks with Abe on August 8, before traveling to Nagasaki to attend the annual peace ceremony the following day.

The meeting comes amid reports that Abe is seeking a meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, possibly in September in the Russian Far East city of Vladivostok.

UN spokeswoman Eri Kaneko told reporters that "we can expect topics such as North Korea to come up" during Guterres' talks with Abe.

Guterres will also discuss nuclear disarmament with the victims from both Hiroshima and Nagasaki, she added.

Last year, the UN chief dispatched an envoy, former UN political chief Jeffrey Feltman, to Pyongyang to try to persuade the leadership to hold talks with the United States.

That visit in December was seen as a key step in opening up North Korea's door to engagement on ending the nuclear standoff.

News that North Korea appears to be building more intercontinental missiles does not necessarily mean negotiations between Washington and Pyongyang are headed for trouble, experts said Tuesday.

Just weeks after President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met at a high-stakes summit in Singapore, officials told the Washington Post that Pyongyang seems to be developing at least one or two liquid-fueled intercontinental ballistic missiles.

The work is underway at a factory outside Pyongyang in Sanumdong, where scientists produced the North's first ICBMs capable of reaching the United States.

Pentagon officials said they would not comment on intelligence matters, though the leaked assessment comes after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo publicly said last week that Pyongyang is still making nuclear fissile material.

Harry Kazianis, director of defense studies at the Center for the National Interest, a conservative think tank in Washington, said the developments should not be surprising, as North Korea is merely following through on what Kim had said he was going to do during a speech in January.

"I'm not shocked at all," Kazianis told AFP.

Kim "put it in black and white: the North Koreans are going to mass produce missiles and nuclear weapons."

Following the summit in June, Trump had declared that Pyongyang was "no longer a Nuclear Threat," but Kim did not publicly promise to end work at the country's nuclear and missile facilities.

Instead, he spoke of committing to "work toward" eventual denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula and importantly, did not make any commitment to unilaterally disarm.

Joel Wit, founder of the respected 38 North organization that monitors North Korea, noted it is not uncommon for a country to continue producing weapons up until the very moment an actual deal is signed.

The Trump-Kim summit yielded a joint statement, but no binding deal.

"When you're engaged in this kind of negotiation ... countries just don't stop everything and wait to see how the negotiation turns out," Wit told AFP.

"They continue their normal programs until there's some final result. And that's what's going on here."

- Policy 'failure' -

According to the Post, senior North Korean officials may be trying to deceive Washington about their nuclear and missile capabilities.

Vipin Narang, a professor in security studies at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, said Kim is not cheating, merely taking advantage of a lack of concrete commitments.

"It is Kim doing exactly what he said he was going to do. And we have not yet offered him anything to incentivize a production freeze. It isn't Kim being duplicitous. It is a continued failure of US policy," Narang wrote on Twitter.

Still, North Korea has taken some actions since the summit, including the repatriation of dozens of sets of remains from Western soldiers killed during the Korean War.

And new satellite imagery from the Sohae Satellite Launching Station on North Korea's west coast suggests workers are dismantling an engine test stand, in line with a promise made to Trump.

Critics caution the move is largely symbolic, since the facility can easily be rebuilt.

For longtime Korea watcher Wit, the United States has started down a promising path with Pyongyang, but it needs to urgently follow up.

"We are in serious danger of stalling and to me that's the main challenge now," he said.

"We're not really following up in a concerted way on the summit. I mean we should already have real negotiations on the issues with people ... working on a detailed agreement."

Bruce Bennett, a senior Rand Corporation researcher, said North Korea's recent moves are a way pressuring Washington for sanctions concessions.

"North Korea knows that we're watching," Bennett told AFP.

They are trying to force a "compromise in a way that would convince them that they should stop their production."

A senior State Department official said Tuesday that Pompeo will urge Asian countries at a meeting in Singapore this weekend to enforce UN sanctions on North Korea.

The official did not rule out a one-on-one meeting between Pompeo and his North Korean counterpart on commitments made during the historic June 12 summit.

Pompeo to urge Asians to enforce UN sanctions on NKorea
Washington (AFP) July 31, 2018 - US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo will urge Asian countries at an upcoming meeting in Singapore to enforce UN sanctions on North Korea aimed at dismantling Pyongyang's nuclear program, a US official said Tuesday.

Pompeo will be in Singapore Friday and Saturday, attending an annual meeting of foreign ministers from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

North Korea "is in the room as a member of the ASEAN regional forum among these 27 countries, so there will be discussions that are inclusive of North Korea," a senior State Department official said, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The official did not rule out a one-on-one meeting between Pompeo and his North Korean counterpart on commitments made during the historic June 12 summit in Singapore between President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

"With regard to potential encounters, pull aside, bilateral meetings, all of those are possible with members of the ASEAN regional forum," the official said.

"There are chance encounters, there are sometimes planned encounters -- but we're not there yet for any announcement," the official said.

In a joint declaration after the June 12 summit, the North Korean leader "reaffirmed his commitment" to work towards the "denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula."

But the actual details of the process, including how and when the North's nuclear program is to be dismantled, have yet to be worked out.

Pompeo, charged with nailing down the details of the Singapore commitment, traveled to Pyongyang in early July for what apparently was a fruitless visit.

The lack of progress has been a source of concern for many observers, especially as international sanctions are beginning to ease and news reports indicate that North Korea is continuing its nuclear and ballistic programs.

"We too remain concerned" by North Korean violations of UN-approved sanctions, the US official said. These include illegal shipments of oil by sea that, according to Washington, enables Pyongyang to bust its import quotas.

Gatherings like the ASEAN meeting are "an opportunity to remind all countries of their obligations in adherence" of UN Security Council resolutions, the official said.

At the United Nations, the United States asked a UN sanctions committee to halt all deliveries of refined oil products to North Korea after accusing Pyongyang of using illegal imports to exceed a cap on permissible deliveries.

A cut-off of oil and fuel would require enforcement primarily by China, which supplies most of North Korea's energy needs, but also by Russia, which delivers some oil to Pyongyang.

Russia and China, which put a six-month hold on the US request, will be represented at the ASEAN meeting.


Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
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NUKEWARS
North Korea marks war anniversary as US remains flown out
Pyongyang (AFP) July 27, 2018
In mist-covered hills, North Korean soldiers, sailors and civilians gathered Friday at a heroes' cemetery to commemorate their brothers in arms on the anniversary of the end of the Korean War. Hostilities between the US-led United Nations forces and the North Koreans and their Chinese allies ceased 65 years ago with an armistice rather than a peace treaty, leaving the peninsula technically still in a state of conflict. The two sides had fought each other to a standstill, millions were dead and K ... read more

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