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NUKEWARS
Kim Jong-Un: Absolute power -- and an H-bomb to wield it
by Staff Writers
Seoul (AFP) Sept 3, 2017


South Korea's Moon calls for new UN sanctions on North
Seoul (AFP) Sept 3, 2017 - South Korean President Moon Jae-In called for the "strongest punishment" against North Korea, including new United Nations sanctions, after Pyongyang said it successfully tested a hydrogen bomb Sunday.

Moon called for "all diplomatic measures including UNSC sanctions resolutions to completely isolate North Korea", presidential security adviser Chung Eui-Yong said after an emergency National Security Council meeting.

The South would discuss deploying "the strongest strategic assets of the US military", he cited Moon as saying -- potentially a reference to tactical nuclear weapons which were withdrawn by Washington in 1991.

Old playbook behind North Korea's new nuclear test
Seoul (AFP) Sept 3, 2017 - The path to Pyongyang's latest nuclear test followed a textbook North Korean strategy: escalating provocations accompanied by furious denunciations of annual South Korea-US military exercises.

In the 12 days since Washington praised Pyongyang's "restraint" and held out the prospect of early talks, the North has fired three short-range missiles, sent another one soaring over Japan and detonated what appears to be a full-fledged thermonuclear device.

"The hydrogen bomb test was a perfect success," an announcer on state TV claimed after Sunday's test.

While some western media delight in portraying the North Korean regime as irrational -- or even unbalanced -- experts say it demonstrates an extremely refined ability in calibrating and timing its actions to maximise their impact.

The fuse for Sunday's detonation was lit with the test in July of two intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM) that appeared to bring much of the US within range.

That sparked a fierce warning by President Donald Trump that Washington could rain "fire and fury" on the North, while Pyongyang unveiled a plan to fire a salvo of missiles towards the US territory of Guam.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un later said he was putting the plan on hold, but warned he could still give the order depending on Washington's next move.

The final countdown then began on August 21 when the United States and South Korea kicked off an annual military exercise called "Ulchi Freedom Guardian" involving tens of thousands of troops.

The North, which sees such war games as rehearsals for invasion, said the US would be "pouring gasoline on fire" by going ahead with the drill.

Its initial military response came on August 26 with the relatively innocuous launch of three short-range ballistic missiles.

That was followed three days later by the far more provocative launch of an intermediate-range missile over Japan -- a move that triggered consternation in Tokyo and the wider region.

Sunday's H-bomb test was flagged just hours before by the release in the North's state media of photos of Kim inspecting a "thermonuclear weapon" capable of being mounted on an ICBM.

More than 60 years after the end of the Korean War, the impoverished North uses the perceived threat of US invasion to justify its nuclear weapons programme.

The annual military exercises in the South always lead to a sharp rise in tensions, and the North's fifth nuclear test on September 9 last year also followed the annual war games.

China, under fire from Trump for failing to restrain its neighbour and ally, has pushed for a suspension of the North's nuclear and missile tests in exchange for a halt to the drills -- a quid pro quo firmly rejected by Seoul and Washington.

If the North's playbook for the latest test is familiar, there is a wild card in the form of the new occupant of the White House.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-Un ranks among the world's youngest heads of state, but has some of its most powerful weapons at his disposal.

Sunday's test of what appeared to be a powerful, full-fledged thermonuclear bomb, marked yet another watershed in Kim's relentless drive as leader to turn the North into a credible -- and feared -- nuclear-armed state.

In the process, he has simply shrugged off international warnings and economic sanctions, as well as bellicose threats from US President Donald Trump of possible military strikes if he persists.

When he took over from his late father Kim Jong-Il nearly six years ago, the younger Kim was in his late 20s, considered untested, vulnerable and likely to be manipulated by senior figures.

But he swiftly proved his mettle in dealing harshly -- sometimes brutally -- with any sign of dissent, even at the highest levels, while maintaining an aggressively provocative stance with the global community.

In 2013 he had influential uncle and mentor, Jang Song-Thaek, executed for treason, while he was also believed to be behind the dramatic assassination of his exiled half-brother Kim Jong-Nam in Malaysia earlier this year.

He has even shown willing to alienate the North's sole major ally China with his unstinting efforts to advance the country's nuclear and missile programmes in the face of Beijing's clear opposition -- and has still not visited his neighbour to pay his respects to leader Xi Jinping.

After his father's death, the young Kim was expected to initially rely on a coterie of powerful aides.

But that expected tutelage was short-lived as Kim started to remove any potential challenges to his authority by executing Jang.

Other purges of high-ranking officials followed and last year Kim had himself appointed as chairman of a new supreme governing commission, underlining his absolute control over every aspect of state policy.

- 'Basketball mad' -

Kim Jong-Un was born to his father's third wife, Japan-born ethnic-Korean dancer Ko Yong-Hi, who is believed to have died of breast cancer in 2004.

He was sent to school in Switzerland, where he was looked after by his maternal aunt Ko Yong-Suk and her husband.

School staff and friends, who were reportedly unaware that he was a member of North Korea's ruling family, remembered him as a shy boy who liked skiing and Hollywood tough guy Jean-Claude Van Damme.

In an interview with the Washington Post, Ko Yong-Suk -- who defected to the US in 1998 -- described Kim as short-tempered and lacking in tolerance.

He was also basketball mad, according to Ko, and even slept with a basketball.

Former Chicago Bull Dennis Rodman, who has visited Pyongyang several times, is one of the few Westerners ever known to have met Kim in recent times.

- Dynastic succession -

Kim knew from his eighth birthday that he would become North Korea's leader, but he only entered the public eye in 2008 when his father suffered a stroke and Pyongyang revved up plans for the nation's second dynastic succession.

By contrast, Kim Jong-Il had been publicly groomed for decades before taking over following the death of his father -- founder leader Kim Il-Sung -- in 1994.

Despite his inexperience, Kim Jong-Un has shown himself adept at the high-risk strategy of diplomatic brinkmanship practised by his father and grandfather -- engineering a series of crises and then sharply driving up the stakes and challenging the international community to respond.

Kim Il-Sung is still widely revered in North Korea, something his grandson has sought to play on by appearing to mimic his hairstyle, dress, mannerisms and public speaking style -- even his handwriting.

In the process, he has also distanced himself from the tainted legacy of his father who oversaw a devastating famine that killed hundreds of thousands -- possibly millions.

Despite being in power for nearly six years, Kim still remains something of an unknown quantity on the world stage, having never travelled overseas in any official capacity.

His personal life is also a matter of intense speculation, but shrouded in secrecy by the North.

The fact he was married was only revealed in July 2012 when pictures emerged of a young woman, Ri Sol-Ju, accompanying Kim at official events.

The couple's third child was born earlier this year, reports said last week citing Seoul's intelligence services.

NUKEWARS
S. Korea seeks rare talks with North to ease military tensions
Seoul (AFP) July 17, 2017
South Korea on Monday offered to hold rare military talks with North Korea, aiming to ease tensions after Pyongyang tested its first intercontinental ballistic missile. The offer of talks, the first since South Korea elected dovish President Moon Jae-In, came as the Red Cross in Seoul proposed a separate meeting to discuss reunions of families separated by the 1950-53 Korean War. The Sou ... read more

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