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NUKEWARS
Iran, world powers try to salvage nuclear talks
by Staff Writers
Vienna (AFP) June 14, 2014


Rouhani hopeful of nuclear deal by July 20 deadline
Tehran (AFP) June 14, 2014 - Iran is serious in seeking a comprehensive nuclear deal with world powers despite lingering differences, President Hassan Rouhani said Saturday, insisting negotiations could succeed before a July 20 deadline expires.

But Rouhani added that should Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany not strike a deal next month, the process will continue until all differences are resolved.

"We are serious in the negotiations, and it will be in the interest of everyone if a deal is signed in the next five weeks," the Iranian president told a press conference in Tehran.

"But there are differences, and in some issues the gaps are substantial," he said.

The P5+1 (Britain, China, France, Russia, the United States plus Germany) talks with Iran resume in Vienna on Monday with the aim of transforming an interim deal into a lasting accord.

The West wants to ensure that Iran's nuclear activities are purely peaceful. In return, Iran wants the removal of international sanctions that have choked its economy.

Details of the negotiations have been scant but according to French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius, Iran wants to operate thousands of centrifuges, machines used to enrich uranium to fuel nuclear plants but which could also provide fissile material for an atomic bomb.

The P5+1 wants Iran to drastically reduce its uranium production capacity, and keep only a few hundred centrifuges active.

"If there is no deal (before July 20), then we will continue the talks... until we reach an agreement," Rouhani said, while suggesting that work on a draft agreement could begin in Vienna.

Rouhani's remarks came a day after his lead negotiator and foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, warned critics not to let "illusions" about his country's nuclear programme scuttle a deal.

"It would be tragically shortsighted if illusions were to again derail progress toward a historic achievement," Zarif wrote in an editorial in the Washington Post.

In Tehran, Rouhani and Zarif appear to have reined in hardline and conservative critics who are opposed to any compromise on what they call Iran's "right" to operate a civilian nuclear programme.

Against that backdrop, Rouhani on Saturday suggested if the talks collapse, the burden would be on "hardliners in America and the Zionist regime" who are against any deal that allows Iran to keep even a limited nuclear drive.

The United States and five other world powers will try from Monday in Vienna to salvage their troubled nuclear talks with Iran five weeks before a deadline expires.

The fiendishly complex accord they want to strike is aimed at finally resolving a standoff that for years has been threatening to escalate out of control.

In essence the deal would see Iran scale down its nuclear programme in order to ease fears it might make an atomic bomb. In return painful UN and Western sanctions would be lifted.

"All that is required is a sober appreciation of the realities faced and a serious calculation of alternatives," Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said in the Washington Post Friday.

But the last round of talks, the fourth, in Vienna in May between Iran and the five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany appeared to hit major problems.

Instead of beginning the drafting of the deal as hoped, Iran's chief negotiator said "no tangible progress" was made and Western officials spoke of "huge" gaps and a lack of "realism".

"There is still lots of work to do. There are glimpses of outlines of solutions on different issues but it is all very fragile," a Western diplomat said Friday.

"On the more important issues, there haven't even been glimpses of solutions," the envoy said, in particular uranium enrichment and the duration of the hoped-for accord.

In an effort to bridge the gaps ahead of Monday, Iranian negotiators in recent days held bilateral meetings with US and French counterparts in Geneva and with the Russians in Rome.

There was no indication of whether any progress was made in these gatherings, although Moscow's pointman Sergei Ryabkov said "important work" was done by the Iranians with the US and French.

- Different ballpark -

The "main issue" is uranium enrichment, a process which can produce nuclear fuel but also the core of an atomic bomb, the Western diplomat said Friday.

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said Tuesday that the West wants Iran to slash the number of centrifuges -- the machines that enrich -- to "several hundred" from the current 20,000.

Iran on the other hand wants to massively increase the number of centrifuges, saying it needs them to produce the fuel for a future fleet of civilian nuclear plants.

But the West says that such facilities are years if not decades away from being built, fearing that Iran's real aim is to enrich uranium for a bomb -- something Iran denies.

"We are not even in the same ballpark," said Fabius. "Wanting hundreds of thousands of centrifuges is pointless unless you want the bomb."

"It is my view that any deal with Iran must demand significant dismantling of Iran's nuclear infrastructure," Robert Menendez, chair of the US Senate Foreign Relations committee, said Thursday.

- Extra time -

Under an interim deal struck in November, Iran agreed to freeze certain nuclear activities for a period of six months in return for minor sanctions relief.

This period comes to an end on July 20 and Zarif said Friday he was "reasonably confident" a deal could be achieved by then. But the six-month deal is renewable if needed.

In view of the difficulties and the short amount of time left, experts believe that both sides may already be discussing such a possibility.

"I imagine those conversations have already started," Ray Takeyh, a former senior advisor on Iran at the US State Department, told AFP.

An extension, particularly of another half-year, is not necessarily easy to agree, however.

US President Barack Obama would also much prefer to get a deal by July 20 in order to fend off accusations ahead of midterm elections in November that Iran is merely buying time.

But Kelsey Davenport from the Arms Control Association believes that Washington should not shy from extending if necessary, since the alternative -- no deal -- is far worse.

Such a "failure ... would result in an unconstrained Iranian nuclear programme and possible military action," she told AFP.

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NUKEWARS
Extension looms for Iran nuclear talks
Vienna (AFP) June 12, 2014
A July 20 deadline for Iran and world powers to strike a nuclear deal looks increasingly likely to be extended given the seemingly huge gap that remains between the two sides, experts say. Though the aim is still to reach agreement by the stated deadline, officials familiar with the talks admit a delay is looking more and more possible. "I imagine those conversations have already started ... read more


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