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NUKEWARS
Iran scores own-goal with failed IAEA visit
by Staff Writers
Vienna (AFP) Feb 22, 2012


Iran urges IAEA not to 'perturb climate of cooperation'
Tehran (AFP) Feb 22, 2012 - Iran's envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency urged the UN watchdog on Wednesday to "avoid perturbing the climate of cooperation," saying talks over Tehran's controversial nuclear programme would continue.

Ali Asghar Soltanieh was speaking after two days of fruitless visit to Iran by IAEA inspectors raised tensions, with Russia warning of "catastrophic" consequences if it leads to a military attack on the country.

"During the past two days, we raised technical and legal matters. Technical answers were provided to the agency's questions," Soltanieh was quoted by state television's website as saying.

"This posture of cooperation and dialogue will continue, and we advise (the IAEA) to avoid perturbing the climate of cooperation."

"Proposals were made" to advance cooperation between Iran and the IAEA, "but to reach a final accord, we need more time. And we have agreed to continue discussions."

The IAEA said it had gone into the two-day visit to Tehran, and another inconclusive one last month, in a "constructive spirit," but that no agreement had been reached on efforts to elucidate Iran's nuclear activities.

The UN watchdog said there was no agreement with Iran "at this point in time" on holding further talks.

Despite requests, "we could not get access" to a military site in Parchin where suspected nuclear warhead design experiments were conducted, team leader and chief inspector Herman Nackaerts said on returning to Vienna.

Referring to Parchin, Soltanieh said: "For every visit, it is necessary to fix a framework and rules taking into consideration both parties."

Talk of possible military action against Iran by Israel, with or without US help, had lent urgency to diplomatic efforts to lower tensions.

The United States and Europe have been ramping up economic sanctions on Iran since November, when the IAEA published a report crystallising -- though not entirely validating -- Western suspicions it was pursuing nuclear weapons research in Parchin and elsewhere.

Iran has repeatedly said the sanctions will not deter it from its nuclear ambitions, and it has threatened to strike back at any military action, possibly by closing the strategic Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has shot itself in the foot by failing to engage with the UN atomic agency, lowering the chances of renewed six-party talks and stoking speculation of military action, analysts said Wednesday.

Moreover, the failure of the International Atomic Energy Agency's visit to Iran could help overcome Russian and Chinese resistance to increasing the heat on the Islamic republic, experts believe.

"Diplomacy with Iran would be meaningful only if Iran would bring to the table evidence that it was cooperating with the IAEA," Mark Hibbs, analyst at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, told AFP.

"That hasn't happened after two IAEA visits to Iran," he said.

The IAEA said in the early hours of Wednesday that its latest visit to Tehran, its second in less than a month, had failed to produce a breakthrough in clarifying suspicions that Iran has done work developing nuclear weapons.

"It was clear that Iran had to offer something concrete and to accommodate IAEA requests for access to sites and personnel," said Shannon Kile at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).

The fact that they didn't was not "unexpected," however, he told AFP.

Despite Iranian denials, most recently on Wednesday from supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Western countries and Israel -- which Tehran says it wants to wipe off the map -- strongly suspect that Tehran wants the bomb.

A watershed IAEA report in November accusing Tehran of a whole host of activities heightened these suspicions, leading to tighter US and EU sanctions and speculation Israel could bomb Iran, possibly as early as April.

Despite this, and sanctions clearly biting, Iran has continued to play hardball, talking up progress in its nuclear programe, threatening a cut in oil sales to Europe and conducting ostentatious displays of its military might.

At the same time, meanwhile, Iran last week signalled its readiness to return to talks with the the P5+1 powers -- the United States, China, Russia, France, Britain and Germany -- which broke down in Turkey 13 months ago.

The glaring absence of Iranian willingness to engage with the IAEA though puts paid to hopes these negotiations will resume, said Oliver Thraenert from the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP) in Berlin.

"This shows clearly that Iran is not in the mood for substantial compromise. The chances now of a return to negotiations between Iran and the P5+1 are not very high. It leaves matters in a deadlock," he told AFP.

US President Barack Obama "would want talks to result in something concrete, he is not interested in just talks for talks, as was the case in Istanbul," Thraenert added.

Iran's behaviour, including what IAEA chief Yukiya Amano called its "disappointing" refusal to allow inspectors access to the Parchin military site, will also go down badly in Moscow and Beijing, experts believe.

"The Chinese in particular have made it clear that they do not want to see Iran becoming nuclear, and they have no interest in games such as Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz," Thraenert said.

A change in Russian and Chinese attitudes -- hitherto easier than the West on Iran -- could be in evidence as early as March 5 when the IAEA's 35-nation board chews over the situation, Hibbs said.

"China and Russia so far have refused to join the West in adding to sanctions. If Amano tells the (IAEA) governors Iran isn't cooperating, China and Russia will be under pressure to take a more active role in finding a diplomatic solution to the crisis," Hibbs said.

"Russia and China will definitely see this as a setback, but it is not clear that this will necessarily get them on side for more sanctions" in the Security Council, cautioned however SIPRI's Kile.

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