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NUKEWARS
Iran opposition unveils 'secret' Tehran nuclear site
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) Feb 24, 2015


US plays down 10-year Iran deal
Washington (AFP) Feb 24, 2015 - The White House on Tuesday denied it was seeking a nuclear deal with Iran that would last just 10 years, a timeframe critics say is inadequate.

"There are some who are making the case publicly that we are in favor of a deal that would just be 10 years in duration, and that is not accurate," said White House spokesman Josh Earnest.

Israel and some domestic critics say a decade-long agreement -- even one which on conclusion would leave Iran at least a year away from building a bomb -- opens the door to a nuclear armed Islamic Republic.

The United States had long urged Iran to dismantle its nuclear program, but in recent months has shifted focus to convincing Iran to limit enrichment, stay at least a year's work away from developing bomb-grade nuclear material and accept tough international monitoring.

The assumption is that the international community would have enough time to detect any lunge toward building a weapon -- and could seek to strike or destroy the facilities.

The aim of the talks, Earnest said, was to "not just reach an agreement with the Iranians, but reach an agreement with the Iranians that we can verify on a continuing, ongoing basis."

Russia talks up chances of Iran nuclear deal
Moscow (AFP) Feb 24, 2015 - Russia voiced confidence on Tuesday that world powers and Iran would be able to reach a comprehensive accord over Tehran's disputed nuclear programme by a June 30 final deadline.

Moscow's chief nuclear negotiator said after the latest round of talks between US Secretary of State John Kerry and Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad in Geneva that tangible progress was being made.

"We are satisfied to see every new meeting achieve further progress," the RIA Novosti news agency quoted Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov as saying.

"There is a growing confidence that an agreement will be reached by the assigned deadline -- in other words, June 30," Ryabkov said in the Swiss city.

Negotiators for Iran and six world powers have been meeting in Geneva since Friday in a bid to resolve the decade-long dispute. A senior US administration official said they intended to continue the talks next week.

Negotiators must by March 31 reach a political framework for a deal that could ease international concern about a possible military dimension to Iran's nuclear enrichment programme.

Iran nuclear deal 'is at hand': EU foreign policy chief
London (AFP) Feb 24, 2015 - The European Union's foreign policy chief on Tuesday said an Iran nuclear deal was "at hand" and urged different sides to show political will ahead of a new round of talks scheduled in Geneva next week.

"We cannot miss this opportunity," Federica Mogherini, whose predecessor Catherine Ashton chairs the talks in Switzerland, said at Chatham House, a think tank in London.

"A good deal is at hand if the parties will keep cooperating as they did so far and if we have enough political will from all sides to agree on a good deal and sell it domestically," Mogherini said.

"We have a series of internal domestic political dynamics we have to handle with care," she said, listing "tensions" in the US Congress, Israel's elections and Sunni-Shiite rivalry in the Gulf region.

"A comprehensive agreement would be mutually beneficial for all sides," she said.

US Secretary of State John Kerry earlier on Tuesday said world powers "had made inroads" since reaching an interim deal with Iran in November 2013 on reining in its suspect nuclear program.

"We expect to know soon whether or not Iran is willing to put together an acceptable, verifiable plan," Kerry said after returning from talks in Geneva with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif.

An exiled Iranian opposition group Tuesday accused Tehran of running a "secret" uranium enrichment site close to Tehran, which it said violated ongoing talks with global powers on a nuclear deal.

"Despite the Iranian regime's claims that all of its enrichment activities are transparent ... it has in fact been engaged in research and development with advanced centrifuges at a secret nuclear site called Lavizan-3," said Alireza Jafarzadeh, deputy director of the National Council of Resistance of Iran(NCRI).

He said the site was hidden in a military base in the northeastern suburbs of Tehran.

He presented to reporters a series of satellite images drawn from Google Maps which he said backed "this intelligence from highly placed sources within the Iranian regime as well as those involved in the nuclear weapons projects."

The Lavizan-3 site was apparently constructed between 2004 and 2008 and has underground labs connected by a tunnel.

"Since 2008, the Iranian regime has secretly engaged in research and uranium enrichment with advanced... centrifuge machines at this site," Jafarzadeh said.

The group had shared its information with the US administration, he added.

The existence of the site was "a clear violation" of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty as well as UN resolutions and an interim November 2013 deal struck with global powers gathered in the P5+1 group, he said.

Under the interim accord, Iran agreed not to allow "any new locations for enrichment" and to provide IAEA, the UN nuclear watchdog, all information about its nuclear facilities.

"It is absolutely senseless to continue the negotiations," added Jafarzadeh.

The NCRI is a political umbrella of five Iranian opposition groups, the largest of which is the People's Mujahedeen Organization of Iran, which was once banned in Europe and the United States as a terror group.

The People's Mujahedeen has long opposed the nuclear negotiations, and with the NCRI has made several important revelations of the existence of secret nuclear sites in Iran.

The so-called P5+1 group of Britain, China, France, Russia, the United States and Germany is trying to strike an accord that would prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb.

In return, the West would ease sanctions imposed on Tehran over its nuclear program, which Iran insists is purely civilian in nature.

A new March 31 deadline is looming for agreement on a political framework, after two previous dates for a comprehensive deal were missed.

"Despite the Iranian regime's claims of transparency, these nuclear activities, today's intelligence, makes clear it has been continuing to lie for more than a decade," added NCRI member Soona Samsami.

What an Iran nuclear deal could look like
Washington (AFP) Feb 24, 2015 - With the clock ticking down to a third, perhaps final deadline for a deal to rein in Iran's nuclear program, top diplomats are ramping up efforts to pin down details.

US Secretary of State John Kerry met twice in Geneva with Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Sunday and Monday, and could join fresh talks planned next week in Switzerland, US officials said.

"We're in the endgame now," Joe Cirincione, president of the Ploughshares Fund, who has long worked on non-proliferation issues, told AFP.

Few specific details of the accord under discussion since the November 2013 interim deal have leaked out, with officials remaining tightlipped to protect the integrity of the high-stakes negotiations.

But here are some of the key issues at stake:

THE GOAL:

To reach a verifiable, comprehensive agreement that limits Iran's ability to harness enough fissile material to build a nuclear bomb. In return, the international community would initially ease and then lift all sanctions imposed on the Islamic Republic.

BREAKOUT TIME:

The US government and observers want to cut Iran's ability to build an atomic weapon to a "one-year breakout time." That would mean Tehran would need at least 12 months to be able to produce enough fuel for a nuclear bomb.

The assumption is that the international community would have enough time to detect such a move -- and could seek to strike or destroy the facilities.

This year-long breakout time would stay in place for the length of the deal, which US officials have said they want to be in "double-digits." But the exact timespan remains unknown and contentious.

ENRICHMENT:

This is one of the trickiest issues. Iran currently has about 19,000 centrifuges. About 10,200 centrifuges are in operation, used for spinning uranium gas at supersonic speeds to make it suitable for power generation and medical uses but also, at high purities, for a bomb.

According to documents leaked by the Israelis, and deemed accurate by non-proliferation experts, the US wants Tehran to reduce its total number of centrifuges to between 6,500 to 7,000.

Most experts say Iran would never agree to dismantle all its centrifuges.

Under the 2013 interim deal, Iran has halted production of 20 percent highly enriched uranium and eliminated or diluted much of its stock down to just five percent.

Negotiators now seek to enshrine that agreement and cut Iran's stockpile of low-enriched uranium gas.

There may also be a proposal for Iran to ship its uranium gas to Russia, which would convert it to fuel rods for the Bushehr nuclear plant which Moscow helped build.

NUCLEAR PLANTS:

The P5+1 wants to remove all uranium enrichment from Fordo, Iran's second main enrichment site deep in a bombproof bunker under a mountain near Qom, and concentrate it at a more accessible plant in Natanz.

On the unfinished heavy water reactor of Arak, there "is every indication they have arrived at a configuration that will result in it producing dramatically less plutonium than the original design," said Cirincione.

Plutonium can be used as an alternative fissile material to highly-enriched uranium.

MONITORING:

A tough inspection program using the UN watchdog, the IAEA, is a cornerstone of any deal to ally any fears that Iran could covertly develop a nuclear arsenal. Under the interim deal, Iran has accepted daily inspections.

SANCTIONS:

Iran wants all sanctions, imposed by the US, EU and UN, lifted. But world powers have refused, talking instead about a phased, gradual easing of the measures. Experts say untangling the sanctions -- from those also imposed for Tehran's terror activities -- could in fact be proving one of the most difficult tasks.

CIVILIAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM:

Iran has always denied seeking a bomb, saying its nuclear program is for peaceful civilian energy purposes.

Under the Joint Plan of Action agreed in November 2013, the global powers known as the P5+1 acknowledged that a comprehensive deal "would enable Iran to fully enjoy its right to nuclear energy for peaceful purposes" in line with the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

Sources: Arms Control Association, the P5+1 Joint Plan of Action, Ploughshares Fund.


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