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Ideological mountain to climb for China-India business
By Bill SAVADOVE
Shanghai (AFP) May 20, 2015


Taiwan's Ma promises push for China trade bill
Taipei (AFP) May 20, 2015 - Taiwan's embattled President Ma Ying-jeou said Wednesday he would push for legislation to guarantee transparency over controversial trade pacts with China that triggered mass rallies last year.

But critics said the plan was too weak and would ease the way for further deals.

The government's proposal is a concession to student-led protesters after their unprecedented three-week occupation of parliament in March last year, as fears over Chinese influence on the island grow.

The protests were sparked by trade pacts which demonstrators said had been signed in secret -- they were subsequently put on hold pending the oversight bill.

"We'll actively push for the passage by parliament of the bill to oversee the agreements with the mainland, as well as several (trade) agreements already signed," said Ma in a speech to mark the end of his seventh year in office.

He added that the new legislation and agreements would ensure "peace and prosperity" in cross-Strait ties.

However the main opposition Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) slammed the proposed plan.

"We definitely cannot accept the draft bill proposed by the cabinet, which lacks the spirit of supervision demanded by the protesters," DPP spokesman Cheng Yun-peng told AFP.

"If approved, it would be tantamount to a blank cheque for the government's future agreements."

The opposition Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU) pledged to block the current version of the bill if the government tried to vote it through.

"Passing such a version would run counter to the demand of the people who joined the Sunflower movement last year," TSU spokeswoman Chou Mei-li told AFP, referring to the name given to the rallies.

The government has given no timescale for the final bill to be put before parliament.

In his speech Ma also defended the KMT's China-friendly policy, despite it playing a major part in the party's heavy defeat at local elections in November -- seen as a barometer for the 2016 presidential vote.

"The peace across the Taiwan Straits in the last seven years was hard won. It should be treasured and carefully kept," he said.

China considers self-ruled Taiwan a part of its territory awaiting reunification -- by force if necessary. They split in 1949 at the end of a civil war.

Tensions have reduced markedly and 21 agreements between the two former bitter rivals have been signed since Ma came to power in 2008.

But public sentiment in Taiwan has recently once again turned against closer ties with Beijing, with voters saying trade deals have been agreed in secret and not benefited ordinary citizens.

India's democratically elected Prime Minister Narendra Modi viewed Shanghai's gleaming skyscrapers at the weekend in search of pointers for his economy, but China believes its one-party state is a key reason for its growth miracle.

China began moving away from its closed-off, Maoist command economy in 1978, recruiting market forces under Deng Xiaoping's "reform and opening up" banner to power its rise to the world's number two economy.

State infrastructure investment and favourable treatment for foreign companies have made Shanghai the planet's largest port, a gateway to the world for Chinese goods.

"Shanghai is indeed among the Chinese cities with the most advanced economies," Shanghai Vice Mayor Zhou Bo proudly told Modi.

In 1980, as China was embarking on change, the Asian giants' GDPs were almost identical, according to the World Bank -- with India a fraction ahead on $189.6 billion at current prices, compared to $189.4 billion for its northern neighbour.

Since then different paths have been followed either side of the Himalayas and by 2013, China's GDP was almost five times higher, $9.24 trillion compared with $1.88 trillion.

Wen Fude, director of Sichuan University's Institute of South Asian Studies, said Beijing has moved more decisively on economic reform than New Delhi.

"China first threw open the door (to foreign investment), then dealt with the legal basis," he told AFP. "Every time India opens the door, it's just a small crack."

Now India is seeking Chinese help in the areas in which it is strong: building high-speed rail lines and power plants, as well as setting up the manufacturing bases that made China the workshop of the world.

"We have to learn from you," Modi told a Shanghai business forum, citing China's foreign investment environment, infrastructure creation and export-led development model.

Economically, nationalist Modi is seen as a liberalising reformer whose home state Gujarat boomed under his rule, and his election last year raised enthusiastic hopes among foreign investors.

- Democracy 'not suitable' -

But, for their part, Chinese officials and analysts hold up their country's one-party state among the reasons for its success. Under "socialism with Chinese characteristics", the authoritarian government is able to ram through projects it considers a priority.

"It's worth India learning from China's ways of governing the country, the way the Chinese government does things... and paying attention to people's livelihoods," said Lin Minwang, a professor at China Foreign Affairs University.

In a compact with its people, the Communist Party has delivered decades of rapid economic growth and improved living standards in return for acceptance of its rule, crushing what it views as dissent.

Lin believes that India's labour unions have too much power, while its government has undue difficulties expropriating land.

"India enjoys democracy, but maybe at this stage it's not too suitable," he told AFP, echoing a common belief of Chinese officials about their country.

China's Communist party fears an independent labour movement could threaten its grip on power, so it allows only one, government-linked trade union. Local authorities often drive people off their property with little compensation, helping free up land for development.

- Bag of gold -

Modi pointed out the areas in which his country excels.

"You are the 'factory of the world', whereas we are the 'back office of the world'," he said. "You give thrust on production of hardware, while India focuses on software and services."

Most of the more than 20 business deals announced during Modi's visit involved Chinese financing for Indian companies in infrastructure projects, but nimble private Chinese firms such as smartphone maker Xiaomi also see India as a potential consumer market.

"India is the only country that has a population of over a billion aside from China," its founder Lei Jun was quoted as saying last month. "Its economy is taking off."

The International Monetary Fund forecasts India's economy to expand 7.5 percent this year, well ahead of China's 6.8 percent.

Chinese officials stress the similarities between the two countries: both are developing countries with large populations.

But they have other parallels too: endemic corruption and overbearing state regulators.

In an op-ed in the Global Times newspaper this week, Mao Hongtao, a former manager of China First Metallurgical Group's Indian operations, lamented the problems he experienced with visas, business registration, taxation and efficiency.

"It is as though you are taking a bag of gold to the other side of the river bank to invest in and develop business, but the bridge you have to cross is a floating bridge," Mao wrote.

"You feel insecure while walking on the floating bridge and it is difficult to reach the other side given the uncertainty."

Few foreign investors in China would fail to recognise such sentiments.

Even so, China's commerce minister Gao Hucheng urged India to improve its business environment, before citing Deng Xiaoping: "The real Asia-Pacific Century or Asia Century must wait for China, India and other neighbouring countries to develop, then it will arrive."


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