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CLIMATE SCIENCE
US has to act fast to beat climate change: experts
by Staff Writers
Washington (AFP) May 19, 2010


EU calls for Europe to make unilateral 30 percent cut in emissions
Brussels (AFP) May 20, 2010 - The European Commission will next week urge EU nations to hike their targets for cutting greenhouse gas emissions from 20 to 30 percent, saying the costs and risks to industry are less than previously estimated. "Both the international context and the economic analysis suggest that the EU is right to continue preparing for a move to a 30 percent target," the commission argues in a paper to be given to the 27 European Union member states on May 26. Until now Europe has agreed only to cut emissions by 20 percent from 1990 levels by 2020. The offer for a 30 percent reduction has until now been dependent upon similar undertakings by other major industrialised nations. But in its paper the EU's executive arm argues strongly that "an EU target of 20 percent by 2020 is not enough to put emissions onto the rights path" to reach the overall goal of keeping global warming below two degrees celsius.

The extra economic effort required to reach the tougher reductions goal is "while still substantial, has fallen," the commission argues. It estimates now that the total cost of such a move would be some 81 billion euros, just 11 billion more than had originally been costed in for the agreed 20 percent emissions cut. The commission, which hopes EU heads of state and government will consider its proposals at their summit on June 17, stresses that "significant long-term benefits for Europe's competitiveness can be reaped" by acting now rather than later. Its call must yet be backed by both the member states and the European parliament.

While the initiative is getting an enthusiastic response from the Green lobby, industrialists aren't happy. Until the rest of the industrialised world guarantees 30 percent cuts "our opinion is that the EU should not move unilaterally to further targets" said Axel Eggert, spokesman for the Eurofer iron and steel federation. Fundamentally "this is technologically not possible for the steel industry", to achieve in the next 10 years, he told AFP, while adding that the industry was helping out a lot indirectly by producing products which help industry further down the food chain to produce more energy efficient products, not least in the automotive industry.

He added that down the track this would lead to "carbon leakage" where jobs and emissions move from a highly regulated region to one with laxer rules and targets. Environmental group Greenpeace said "industry myths" were blocking a more ambitious emissions target. "Independent economic research found that there is no empirical evidence that more ambitious climate policies will result in mass relocation of industries outside of the EU," it argued in a statement. "Competition for European industries mainly comes from within the EU and not from producers outside Europe." In its paper the EU Commission argues that the impact on energy intensive industry would be "very limited".

As climate change legislation crept forward on Capitol Hill, top scientists called Wednesday for the United States to move quickly to cut greenhouse gas emissions and put a price on carbon.

In a trio of studies that are part of the most comprehensive report to date on climate change by the National Academy of Sciences, experts urged the United States to set up a "greenhouse gas emissions budget" -- a set amount of greenhouse gases that can be emitted over a fixed period of time.

They warned that the country would have to throw all the resources it has and then some at global warming, starting now, if it hoped to meet the budget goals, which the scientists suggested should cap total US emissions between 2012 and 2050 at 170 billion to 200 billion tons of greenhouse gases.

The scientists said meeting even their lower level of cuts would require "a major departure from business-as-usual emission trends," which have seen emissions rise by about one percent a year in the US to a current level of around seven billion tons annually.

"At current emission rates, which are in the order of seven billion tons a year, we would use up the budget well before 2050," said Robert Fri, who chaired the committee of scientists that wrote the report on limiting climate change.

"Even if all available and emerging technologies -- energy efficiency, renewables, nuclear, carbon capture and storage for coal plants, and biofuels -- can be deployed to their fullest technical potential, we will still need new and additional reduction options to meet the budget," he said.

"If we're going to meet the budget, we really have to get started."

The scientists suggested that the best way to cut emissions would be through an "economy-wide carbon-pricing system, whether it's cap-and-trade or taxes or a hybrid of the two.

"The evidence is very strong that if one makes it worth the private sector's while to meet a public goal, in this case reducing the amount of carbon dioxide emitted into the atmosphere, you'll get a response that's very vigorous and broadly based," said Fri.

The upper emissions "budget" of 200 billion tons of greenhouse gases over 38 years, would mean reducing US emissions from 1990 levels by 50 percent.

Climate change legislation introduced in the Senate this month by Democratic Senator John Kerry and Independent Joe Lieberman seeks to reduce carbon emissions by 17 percent by 2020 and by 83 percent by 2050 -- but those cuts are based on emissions in 2005, or 15 years later than the benchmark year in the scientists' plan.

The Senate target is in line with a House of Representatives bill approved last year and President Barack Obama's position in international negotiations.

In a statement, Kerry called the scientists' report "yet another wake-up call on the threats of global climate change," but did not comment on the much tougher targets for emissions cuts that the the report set.

Two other reports released Wednesday reaffirmed US scientists' belief that climate change is occurring and caused largely by human activity, and stressed the need to adapt to impacts of global warming that cannot be avoided, such as rising sea levels, melting glaciers and more heat waves.

The reports were released as climate change legislation moved slowly forward on Capitol Hill, while the US and more than 190 other nations continue to hammer out the details of a successor treaty to the Kyoto Protocol, which set targets for emissions cuts for developed nations, based on 1990 levels.

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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Tough US measures needed to beat climate change: experts
Washington (AFP) May 19, 2010
The United States has to lead the global fight on climate change by breaking with business-as-usual and setting tough standards for the amount of greenhouse gases it emits into the atmosphere, US scientists said Wednesday. In one of three multi-hundred-page reports on climate change by the National Research Council, scientists said the United States should set a budget that would limit green ... read more


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