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NUKEWARS
N.Korean leader continues secretive visit to China
by Staff Writers
Beijing (AFP) May 4, 2010


Overview of North Korea-China relations
Seoul (AFP) May 3, 2010 - Mao Zedong once described China and North Korea as being as close as "lips and teeth" but Beijing has often had to bite the bullet over its wayward ally's nuclear ambitions. Here is an overview of relations as the North's leader Kim Jong-Il Monday reportedly began a visit to China, his fifth in the past decade: China, alarmed by the advance of US-led forces to the Yalu border river, entered the Korean War in October 1950 and saved the North from defeat. After the 1953 armistice, it assisted its ally with post-war reconstruction. During the Cold War, the North's then-leader Kim Il-Sung played on Sino-Soviet rivalry to extract additional aid from Moscow. Since the Soviet Union's collapse, China has become the North's largest trading partner and supplier of concessional aid.

Relations were jolted in 1992 when China established diplomatic ties with South Korea. Beijing is also unhappy about Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions. It supported United Nations sanctions when the North staged its first atomic test in October 2006 in defiance of pleas from Beijing, and also voted to tighten those sanctions after the second test in May 2009. China hosts six-nation talks which began in 2003. They aim to persuade the North to abandon its nuclear ambitions in return for aid, major diplomatic benefits and a peace pact on the Korean peninsula. The talks also group South Korea, Japan, Russia and the United States. The North walked out in April 2009. China is pressing it -- apparently in vain, so far -- to return to dialogue.

The sinking of a South Korean warship in March near the disputed inter-Korean border is another complication, with US and South Korean officials saying nuclear talks must wait until the ship issue is resolved. Suspicions are growing that a North Korean torpedo killed 46 South Korean sailors, although the North denies involvement. China, however, appears to prefer the status quo on the peninsula rather than the prospect of a unified pro-Western Korea on its doorstep. It also fears that instability in the North would trigger a flood of refugees into its northeastern border region. "North Korea's core interest of regime preservation overlaps with China's interest in preserving stability on the peninsula," said a US Congressional Research Service (CRS) report in March. China is the North's main supplier of food and energy, providing about half of all North Korean imports and receiving a quarter of its exports in 2008 according to CRS figures. It is also the largest foreign investor, if South Korean investment in the Kaesong joint industrial complex is excluded.

North Korea's leader Kim Jong-Il was to continue his highly secretive visit to China on Tuesday, at a time of tensions over the sinking of a South Korean warship and his regime's nuclear ambitions.

The rare trip to North Korea's sole major ally has been seen by some analysts as a sign that stalled six-nation talks on dismantling Kim's nuclear programme could be reinvigorated.

But others say mystery over the warship's destruction in March -- an incident in which 46 sailors were killed -- clouds any hope for early dialogue.

It is Kim's first trip in more than four years to China, North Korea's main source of finance, food and fuel. The country is seen as one of the few able to levy pressure on Pyongyang's hardline regime.

Kim, who is said to dislike air travel, has visited China four times since 2000, each time by train. The last trip, in January 2006, was also shrouded in secrecy and only formally announced after it had ended.

Analysts said China could use the current trip to press the reclusive leader to return to the six-party nuclear disarmament talks he quit in April last year, in return for badly needed aid.

North Korea has suffered from persistent food shortages since the Soviet Union collapsed two decades ago.

But US and South Korean officials have indicated the talks cannot restart until suspicion is resolved about any North Korean involvement in the March 26 sinking of the Cheonan warship.

The Cheonan was ripped apart by an external explosion. The South has not so far directly accused the North over the incident, and Pyongyang has angrily denied responsibility.

On the latest trip Kim's 17-carriage train went to the eastern Chinese port city of Dalian on Monday, South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported, citing sources in Seoul and Beijing.

The agency quoted another source in Dalian as saying he had seen Kim at the city's five-star Furama Hotel, which had an entire wing reserved for the North Korean delegation until Tuesday evening.

Receptionists at the hotel would not comment when contacted by AFP, and it was unclear when and if Kim was heading to Beijing.

earlier related report
N.Korean leader on rare visit to China
Beijing (AFP) May 3, 2010 - North Korea's reclusive leader Kim Jong-Il arrived in China on Monday, officials said, at a time of tension over the sinking of a South Korean warship and his communist regime's nuclear ambitions.

Some analysts said the rare trip to North Korea's sole major ally could reinvigorate stalled six-nation talks on dismantling Kim's atomic programme. But mystery over the warship's destruction clouds any hopes for early dialogue.

"Kim arrived at about five this morning," said an official at the Friendship Bridge tourist site, at northeastern China's Dandong border crossing with North Korea.

"We received a notice from the Public Security Bureau and the army that we should shut down tourist operations in the morning," the official told AFP by telephone.

Rail officials in China's Liaoning province also confirmed that a special train from North Korea crossed into the country early on Monday, but the Chinese foreign ministry refused immediate comment.

It is Kim's first trip in more than four years to China, North Korea's main source of finance, food and fuel. The country is seen as one of the few able to apply pressure on Pyongyang's hardline regime.

Kim, who is said to dislike air travel, has visited China four times since 2000 by train. The last trip in January 2006 was shrouded in secrecy and only formally announced after it had ended.

His 17-carriage train was thought to have headed to the eastern Chinese port city of Dalian en route to Beijing, South Korea's Yonhap news agency said, citing sources in Seoul and Beijing.

The agency quoted another source in Dalian as saying he had seen Kim at the city's five-star Furama Hotel that had an entire wing reserved for the North Korean delegation until Tuesday evening.

Receptionists at the hotel refused to comment when contacted by AFP.

In a potential further indication that Kim was in Dalian, a photographer for Japan's Kyodo News was detained by police there for over an hour before being released, Yasushi Kato, bureau chief of the agency's Beijing office, told AFP.

He said he was still unclear about where the photographer was detained or why, but added he had been sent to cover Kim's visit.

Analysts said China could press the reclusive leader to return to the six-party nuclear disarmament talks it hosts in return for badly needed aid.

North Korea has suffered from persistent food shortages since the Soviet Union collapsed two decades ago. Ongoing shortages were further aggravated last November by a bungled currency reform.

Kim's visit comes after Chinese President Hu Jintao on Friday met South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak and with North Korea's number two leader Kim Yong-Nam on the sidelines of the World Expo in Shanghai.

"Kim will likely express his commitment to returning to six-party talks while leaving a date for the return up to host China," Yang Moo-Jin of Seoul's University of North Korean Studies told AFP.

"In return, Kim will receive economic aid from China."

North Korea had agreed in previous rounds of the dialogue -- which groups the two Koreas, China, Russia, the United States and Japan -- to end its nuclear weapons drive in return for security guarantees and fuel aid.

But it angrily quit the talks in April last year and vowed to restart production of weapons-grade plutonium, carrying out its second atomic weapons test the following month.

Pyongyang says it will not go back to the nuclear dialogue until UN sanctions are lifted, and until the United States makes a commitment to hold talks on a formal peace treaty.

But US and South Korean officials have indicated the talks cannot restart until suspicion is resolved about any North Korean involvement in the March 26 sinking of the Cheonan corvette, which claimed the lives of 46 sailors.

According to Yang at the Seoul university, Kim "will try to convince the Chinese leadership that South Korea fabricated the Cheonan incident to set up North Korea".

"If China is convinced, it will promise to cooperate with the North in the possible future UN handling of this case. Otherwise, China will take a prudent stance without siding with North Korea."

The Cheonan was ripped apart by an external explosion. The South has not so far directly accused the North over the incident, and Pyongyang has angrily denied responsibility.

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NUKEWARS
N.Korean leader believed to be visiting China: report
Seoul (AFP) May 3, 2010
North Korea's secretive leader Kim Jong-Il is believed to have begun a much-anticipated trip to ally China aboard a special train on Monday, South Korea's Yonhap news agency reported. The agency, quoting sources in Seoul and Beijing, said a 17-carriage train crossed the Yalu border river to Dandong at 5:20 am Monday Chinese time (2120 GMT Sunday) amid tight security. It was thought likel ... read more


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