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ENERGY TECH
Japan 'very concerned' over Iran tension
by Staff Writers
Abu Dhabi (AFP) Jan 10, 2012


US data, Iran fears send oil higher in Asia
Singapore (AFP) Jan 10, 2012 - Oil prices rose in Asian trade Tuesday with buoyant US consumer spending data and heightened worries over Iran's nuclear programme providing support, analysts said.

New York's main contract, West Texas Intermediate crude for delivery in February, was up 61 cents to $101.92 a barrel.

Brent North Sea crude for February gained 34 cents to $112.79 a barrel.

"US consumer economic data saw its biggest jump in a decade, signalling increased confidence in its economic recovery," said Nick Trevethan, senior commodities strategist at ANZ Research.

Data out of Washington on Monday showed a 9.9 percent surge in consumer credit in November, the biggest increase since 2001.

Credit card spending was up 8.5 percent, while non-revolving loans, including university and automobile loans, jumped 107 percent.

The data added to the growing sense that a recovery in the world's biggest economy and oil consumer is showing signs of strength, coming days after a fall in the unemployment rate and a bigger-than-forecast rise in job creation.

Adding to the upward pressure on oil was lingering concern about Iran's nuclear programme, Trevethan told AFP.

The UN atomic agency Monday revealed that Tehran had started to enrich uranium in a mountain bunker, further stoking suspicions that it wants to build nuclear weapons.

Iran -- the world's fourth-largest oil producer -- has threatened to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz if the European Union goes ahead with plans to slap a ban on imports of its oil as part of sanctions to stop its nuclear programme.

"Irans external relations can affect oil markets through more than just the blockage of trade," Barclays Capital said in a commentary.

"In our view, the situation is now severe enough to run the danger of creating a clash almost accidentally."

Meanwhile traders are also monitoring the situation in Nigeria, where the end of fuel subsidies has sparked widespread protests, analysts said, although officials said oil output in the country had so far been unaffected.

Nigeria produces around 2.4 million barrels a day and is Africa's top producer.

Japan's foreign minister, on a Gulf tour to seek assurances over oil supplies, said Tuesday that Tokyo was "very concerned" by escalating tensions with Iran and called for a diplomatic solution.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), meanwhile, gave assurances it would make up for a shortfall in oil supplies to Japan.

"Japan is very concerned about the latest developments," Koichiro Gemba said of the West's standoff with Tehran, which has threatened to block the strategic Strait of Hormuz if oil sanctions are imposed over its nuclear programme.

"We believe that we should solve the problem diplomatically and peacefully. That is why dialogue with Iran should continue," the Japanese foreign minister told reporters in Abu Dhabi through an Arabic-language interpreter.

"Iran should not incite troubles, and nothing should affect security in the Strait of Hormuz," he said.

His UAE counterpart, Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed Al-Nahayan, said closing the Strait of Hormuz was not in any one's interest, including Iran, but pointed to later statements from Tehran denying plans to bloc the waterway.

"It is not in the interest of any side, be it member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council, Iran, the international community and energy prices, to talk about closing international passages, especially Hormuz," he said.

"We heard different statements from Iran. We heard threats and then we heard denials. I hope that this tone (the denials) will prevail in the region," he added.

Gemba said he asked the UAE for assurances to increase oil supplies to meet Japan's needs, as fears rise of sanctions on Tehran.

"We have asked for an increase in oil supplies that Japan needs," he told reporters when asked if he sought assurances from the UAE to help cover shortages resulting from a possible embargo on Iranian exports.

Thirty percent of Japan's oil supplies come from Saudi Arabia, with another 20 percent coming from the Emirates, 10 percent from Qatar and nine percent from Iran.

The minister has already made stops in Saudi Arabia and Qatar where he raised the same concerns.

Sheikh Abdullah said his country was willing to help meet Tokyo's needs in the event of energy shortfalls.

"As the UAE has the ability to provide more energy resources, it has taken the request positively. Japan will have the priority," he said.

Japan's needs for oil and gas have also increased after a massive earthquake and tsunami caused devastation and sparked a nuclear power crisis last March.

The vast bulk of Japan's 54 nuclear reactors are now shut down, amid public distrust of the technology and calls for increased safety.

Speaking at a Friday news conference, Japan's industry minister, Yukio Edano, said the world's third biggest economy was preparing for a potential Iranian oil embargo "by taking every possibility into consideration."

Saudi Arabia is seen as the only oil exporter capable of boosting production sufficiently to make up for a crunch in the global oil market.

The president of JX Nippon Oil & Energy, Japan's biggest petroleum refiner, expressed confidence in the ability of the world's largest oil exporter to raise output, in a recent interview.

"I think we can make do if we have months to spare," Yasushi Kimura told SankeiBiz digital news. "We have sounded out Saudi Arabia on what can be done" if the ban on Iran is implemented.

Oil exporters to up output if Iran embargoed: France
Paris (AFP) Jan 10, 2012 - If Iran is hit with an oil embargo over its nuclear policy, other major exporters will increase their production in order to steady world markets, the French foreign minister said Tuesday.

"Other countries are ready to increase production to avoid an effect on prices. We have made discreet contacts in this direction. The producers don't want to talk about it, but they are standing ready," Alain Juppe said.

Briefing a French parliamentary committee, Juppe said he did not share some lawmakers' pessimism over the prospects for an embargo on Iranian crude.

Several Western powers are pushing for stronger economic sanctions to be imposed on Iran's Islamic regime in order to force it to abandon a nuclear programme they allege is destined to produce atomic bombs.

But China and some other major energy consumers are opposed to any embargo that could cut of oil supplies from the Gulf and boost oil prices at a moment when the world economy is already teetering on the brink of recession.

Juppe admitted some European oil importers, including Italy and Greece, were also nervous about losing Iranian exports, but said: "We are trying to convince our partners that there are other sources of supply."

The French minister said he hoped to have all EU members on board for tougher sanctions before a European foreign minister's meeting on January 23.

Iran is the world's third largest oil exporter, shipping around 2.4 million barrels per day, and the regime depends on oil sales for 60 percent of its revenue, having made around $100 billion last year.

Taking this oil off the market would be a shock in itself, but Iran has also threatened to disrupt shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, which could cut supplies from Saudi Arabia and other major Gulf producers.

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ENERGY TECH
Iran has taken no action to close Strait of Hormuz: US
Washington (AFP) Jan 9, 2012
The US military has detected no signs that Iran is preparing to close the strategic Strait of Hormuz despite tough rhetoric from Tehran, the Pentagon said Monday. "We would have some knowledge of an intent to actively impede maritime traffic to the Strait of Hormuz. We don't see any active steps being taken by the Iranians to close the strait," press secretary George Little told reporters. ... read more


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