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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Climategate: UN scientists defend 'targeted' colleagues
by Staff Writers
Copenhagen (AFP) Dec 8, 2009


2009 one of hottest years on record: US study
Washington (AFP) Dec 8, 2009 - The world saw one of the hottest years on record in 2009 and has notched up the hottest decade since records began, a report by a US climate agency said Tuesday. Scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) found in a preliminary annual report that compared current data with information dating back to the 1800s, that global land and ocean surface temperatures so far this year were the fifth warmest on record. Temperatures from January to the end of October have been 1.01 degrees Fahrenheit above the long-term average, the report said. A similar temperature rise was seen for the decade from 2000-2009, making it the hottest on record. Ocean surface temperatures during the first 10 months of this year were the sixth warmest ever recorded, and Arctic sea ice covered its third smallest extent on record. Only 2007 and 2008 have seen Arctic sea ice cover a smaller area, the report said.

In the United States, average temperatures and precipitation -- both rain and snowfall -- were also above average, even though the Atlantic hurricane season had below-average activity, with nine named storms, only three of which were hurricanes. The report, which the NOAA stressed is preliminary and subject to revision, was issued as talks under the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) aimed at halting the march of global warming got underway in the Danish capital, Copenhagen. The US analysis echoed a warning made on the sidelines of the climate summit in Copenhagen, where the head of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said the past decade is shaping up to be the hottest since records began. "The decade 2000-2009 is very likely to be the warmest on record, warmer than the 1990s, which were in turn warmer than the 1980s," WMO secretary-general Michel Jarraud told reporters.

Members of the Nobel-winning panel of climate scientists rose on Tuesday to defend colleagues that they said had been "targeted" for email hacking to sway the outcome of the UN global warming talks.

Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), said he believed the email intercept was a calculated act.

"The persons who have worked on this report, and those who unfortunately have been victims of this terrible and illegal act, are outstanding scientists, and have contributed enormously over the 20, 21 years of the existence of the IPCC," he told a press conference at the UN climate talks here.

He added: "I believe they are being unfairly targeted."

The thousands of intercepted emails have been seized upon by skeptics as "Climategate" -- evidence that scientists twisted data in order to dramatise global warming.

Some of the thousands of messages, purloined from scientists at Britain's University of East Anglia, a top centre for climate research, expressed frustration at the scientists' inability to explain what they described as a temporary slowdown in warming.

They also discussed ways to counter the campaigns of climate naysayers.

The authors, though, say their messages are sometimes flippant or ironic, and are being distorted to suit denialists.

Pachauri dismissed contentions that the IPCC's landmark Fourth Assessment Report should be revisited.

In 2007, this phonebook-sized study declared that the evidence of warming was "unequivocal" and damage to glaciers, snowfall and changing seasons were among the signs that climate change was already on the march.

"I think this is an illegal act. The only issue that has to be dealt with as far as this occurrence is concerned is to find out who is behind it," said Pachauri.

"One can only surmise that those who have carried out this act have done it with the very clear intention to influence the process in Copenhagen -- but, barring a few isolated voices, people over here are totally convinced of the solidity of the findings in the IPCC report."

Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), said the incident had had scant impact at the Copenhagen talks and insisted the IPCC's integrity remained untouched.

"I do not believe that it has damaged the credibility of IPCC, given the fact that that is a process where 2,500 scientists do not research themselves but review works that had been published and peer reviewed," he said.

"I think the science produced by the IPCC is rock-solid," he added.

Pachauri said his panel would probe the incident "just to see if there are any lessons for us that we might want to take onboard.

"We are determining how best to do that. But I want to clarify that this is not an investigation."

On Monday, Saudi Arabia seized the opening sessions of the UN climate talks to say that public trust in climate science had been "shaken" and an independent probe was needed.

"I would have been concerned if they hadn't made an issue of it," Pachauri said drily.

"Wouldn't you expect that? Oil and politics mix very well. I'm not too sure that oil and science mixes very well."

Separately, the IPCC's Working Group 1 -- gathering the scientists who made the "unequivocal" judgement -- said it "firmly stands" behind its work and the exhaustive process of open debate and independent peer review.

"The body of evidence is the result of the careful and painstaking work of hundreds of scientists worldwide.

"The internal consistency from multiple lines of evidence strongly supports the work of the scientific community, including those individuals singled out in these email exchanges, many of whom have dedicated their time and effort... during the past 20 years."

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