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NUKEWARS
Western sabotage undermines Iran nuclear drive: experts
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) April 13, 2010


Obama urges world to move 'boldly' on Iran sanctions
Washington (AFP) April 13, 2010 - President Barack Obama Tuesday called for the world to move "boldly and quickly" on new Iran sanctions but admitted the tactic was not a "magic wand" that could alone end Tehran's nuclear program. It also remained unclear what assurances, if any, China's President Hu Jintao had given Obama on Beijing's previously reluctant attitude towards the "biting" UN sanctions that the United States wants to impose on Tehran. "My interest is not having a long drawn-out process for months," Obama said, appealing for nations to "move forward boldly and quickly," after pressing for a tough range of sanctions on Iran at the US-hosted nuclear security summit. Asked a day after meeting Hu whether China would drop its reluctance to sign up for stiff sanctions, Obama did not reveal if he had been offered assurances by Beijing.

"Here's what I know. The Chinese have sent official representatives to negotiations in New York, to begin the process of drafting a sanctions resolution," Obama said. "The United States is not moving this process alone," Obama said, noting that Russia had also agreed to join the effort in the Security Council. Obama also defended the use of sanctions to punish Iran for not halting a nuclear program that the United States says is designed to produce nuclear weapons, a charge Tehran denies. But he warned that "sanctions aren't a magic wand." "What sanctions do accomplish is hopefully to change the calculus of a country like Iran so that they see there are more costs and fewer benefits to pursuing a nuclear weapons program."

Obama said that he had made a strong case that Iran's flouting of agreements like the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty meant that the world would eventually have to draw a line in the sand. "What I said to President Hu and what I've said to every world leader that I've talked to is that words have to mean something," Obama said. "There have to be consequences." On Monday, a top White House official said Obama and Hu agreed during talks to jointly push for new nuclear sanctions on Iran. "They are prepared to work with us," said Jeff Bader, Obama's top official responsible for East Asia on the National Security Council, referring to China. "The two presidents agreed the two delegations should work together on sanctions." However China, a veto-wielding member of the Security Council, undercut hopes for a consensus when it said sanctions were not a solution.

"China always believes that dialogue and negotiation are the best way out for the issue. Pressure and sanctions cannot fundamentally solve it," foreign ministry spokeswoman Jiang Yu said earlier. Jiang said China backs a "dual-track strategy" consisting of continued dialogue with Tehran, but at the same time maintaining the possibility of sanctions if talks fail to halt sensitive nuclear work. German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she was hopeful China would throw its support behind a fourth round of UN sanctions against a defiant Tehran. Her optimism came as the United States reportedly pledged to keep China's oil imports flowing in case Iran retaliated by cutting off energy supplies to the Asian economic powerhouse. "I see a positive development, even if it is moving slowly and we can't say whether it will lead to sanctions," Merkel told reporters, adding "I'm very hopeful." "China is now part of the process, even though we can't say clearly what the outcome will be," she said on the sidelines of the landmark atomic summit which agreed to secure loose nuclear materials around the world within four years.

As pressure mounts for new sanctions against Iran, experts say its alleged nuclear weapons programme is struggling to find scientists and technicians and faces sabotage by Western and Israeli agents.

Despite already being the subject of economic sanctions and facing the threat of more concerted international action, Iran is pushing ahead with attempts to enrich large quantities of uranium to make nuclear fuel.

Having said it plans to refine its three or four percent enriched uranium to the 20 percent level that could be used in a research reactor, Tehran is on the threshold of perfecting the 90 percent strength needed for a bomb.

"It's going slower ... than they anticipated. But they are moving in that direction," US Defence Secretary Robert Gates said on Sunday in an interview with the NBC network.

Once 90 percent enrichment is achieved, it will only remain for Iran to assemble a missile with separate stages, something intelligence agents think Iran has made considerable progress towards over the past three years.

China was continuing Tuesday to resist Western calls for new economic sanctions, disappointing Washington by calling for "dialogue and negotiation" just ahead of a 47-nation summit on world nuclear proliferation.

But in the meantime, Iran has already run into technical difficulties, some related to its limited engineering capacity, others deliberately engineered by Western intelligence in a bid to sabotage the programme.

"The Iranians are still enriching uranium, but they've run into some problems," a senior European official told AFP, speaking on condition of anonymity to confirm details of a covert international operation.

According to Western experts, Iran's array of centrifuges has allowed it to produce around two tonnes of weakly enriched uranium, but only at the cost of working its out-of-date equipment almost to breaking point.

In a race to beat imminent sanctions and the possible threat of Israeli or US air strikes, Iranian scientists rely on so-called "dual use" imported civilian equipment to maintain their creaking production line.

This is where Western spy networks come in.

Having identified much of Iran's international network of buyers and front organisations, legally and illegally gathering the tools Tehran needs, Western agents are able to almost-literally throw a spanner in the works.

"For example, if a certain kind of lubricant is needed for such-and-such a task, it's delivered to them. Then, six months later, it starts to corrode the material it has been applied to," one specialist told AFP.

Jean-Pierre Maulny, an analyst at the Institute of International and Strategic Relations in Paris, confirmed the practice, which he said was possible thanks to what is known as the "Wassenaar Arrangement".

Set up in Vienna in 1995 and with 35 members, the Wassenaar group shares information on what other countries are seeking to import in terms of weapons and civilian equipment with possible military applications.

Once a picture is built up of a possible rogue state's intentions, other agencies -- such as national intelligence services -- can act.

Where are Iran's centrifuges built? Where are those that were to be installed in its recently revealed second enrichment centre outside Qom? Are there other secret sites in Iran? What can be done about them?

Spy agencies want answers to all these questions, and their task could be made easier by the other weak link in Tehran's enrichment chain: its expert personnel, from skilled welders to top-flight nuclear scientists.

In January, Massoud Ali Mohammadi, 50-year-old Iranian nuclear physicist, was killed by a remote-controlled bomb hidden on a motorcycle parked near his Tehran home.

Iran has blamed the attack on either the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) or Israel's Mossad.

Another Iranian physicist, Shahram Amiri, disappeared in June last year on pilgrimage to Saudi Arabia. US media report that he willingly defected to the CIA. Iran claims he was kidnapped.

Either way, he is no longer available to help build an Iranian bomb.

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Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com






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NUKEWARS
China keeps world guessing on Iran sanctions
Washington (AFP) April 13, 2010
China kept the world guessing Tuesday on whether it would back new sanctions on Iran over a disputed nuclear program as Western powers banked on Beijing to step up pressure on the Islamic republic. As leaders of 47 nations wrapped up a nuclear security summit in Washington, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said she was hopeful China would throw its support behind a fourth round of UN sanction ... read more


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