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NUKEWARS
US-S.Korea naval exercises begin, China calls for talks
by Staff Writers
Yeonpyeong Island, South Korea (AFP) Nov 28, 2010


China calls for emergency talks on N.Korea
Beijing (AFP) Nov 28, 2010 - China called Sunday for an emergency meeting in early December of envoys to the six-nation talks on North Korean nuclear disarmament amid high tensions on the Korean peninsula. It was China's most detailed response yet to the crisis sparked by North Korea's shelling of an island held by the South and came as retaliatory US-South Korean naval exercises criticised by Beijing got underway. "The Chinese side, after careful study, proposes to have emergency consultations among the heads of delegation to the six-party talks in early December in Beijing to exchange views on major issues of concern to the parties at present," said Wu Dawei, China's top North Korea envoy. Wu stressed that the consultations did not constitute a formal resumption of the stalled six-nation negotiations on dismantling North Korea's nuclear programmes but he hoped they would lead to such a resumption soon.

"The international community, particularly the members of the six-party talks, are deeply concerned," said Wu. Tensions in the region have been on a knife edge since North Korea bombarded the South-held island with artillery on Tuesday, provoking world condemnation and retaliatory fire from the South. China has come under increasing international pressure from the United States, South Korea, Japan and others to step in forcefully to restrain the unpredictable North Korean regime. However, China, which typically refrains from publicly criticising its neighbour and longtime ally Pyongyang, had so far only called for restraint from all sides and a early restart to the six-party talks.

Earlier on Sunday the United States and its ally South Korea staged a potent show of strength with naval exercises aimed at deterring the North. Residents of the flashpoint Yeonpyeong island scurried for shelter and South Korea's defence ministry urged hundreds of journalists to leave, warning the North may use the war games far to the south as a pretext for a new attack. The drill, spearheaded by the massive US nuclear-powered aircraft carrier the George Washington, has been opposed by China, which has warned against any further "provocations" that could escalate tensions. The South's President Lee Myung-Bak, faced with public fury at the North over the second military crisis in eight months, told visiting Chinese official Dai Bingguo on Sunday that China should be "fairer and more responsible" in its relations with the two Koreas.

The frequently stalled six-party forum, aimed at curbing Pyongyang's nuclear ambitions in exchange for aid and other inducements, is chaired by China and also involves the two Koreas, the United States, Japan and Russia. The talks secured a 2007 deal under which North Korea agreed to shut down its nuclear facilities in exchange for fuel aid. But Pyongyang left the forum in April 2009 and conducted its second nuclear test a month later. Japan said it would take a cautious approach on China's proposal. "We would deal with the issue cautiously while cooperating with South Korea and the United States," Tetsuro Fukuyama, the Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary, told reporters.

Patience with North Korea has snapped among many South Koreans and a martial mood is spreading among its leaders, military brass and people after Pyongyang's deadly artillery strikes last week.

Reflecting the popular sentiment, a grim-faced President Lee Myung-Bak in a national address Monday described the strikes "inhumane" and vowed to "make the North pay the price" for any further provocations.

Over the years Seoul has fumed, but usually refrained from retaliating, as the hardline regime of Kim Jong-Il staged nuclear tests, fired long-range missiles and, just weeks ago, showed off a new uranium enrichment plant.

Most South Koreans, especially younger generations, have long shrugged off the regime's Cold War-style verbal attacks which label them "warmongers" and "the US imperialists' puppet forces".

Agents from the North blew up a South Korean airliner in 1987, killing 115 people. Pyongyang has also been blamed by a multinational panel for the March sinking of a South Korean corvette, the Cheonan, killing 46 sailors.

But many believe North Korea staged its most brazen provocation yet when it rained 80 shells and rockets on to the South's border island of Yeonpyeong last Tuesday, killing two marines and two construction workers.

The first artillery attack on a civilian area in the South since the 1950-53 war reduced two dozen buildings to smouldering ruins and sparked a panicked exodus of almost all of the island's 1,500 residents.

At the funeral for the two marines Saturday, which was broadcast across the nation, Marine Corps commander Lieutenant General Yoo Nak-Joon vowed to "repay North Korea a hundred- and thousand-fold" for their deaths.

The government has announced it would beef up island defences, reform the military and change its rules of engagement, which have so far strongly emphasised the avoidance of escalation.

Military analysts warn that another Korean war would bring a nightmare scenario of a devastated Korean peninsula and one million deaths.

Pyongyang has claimed it only retaliated last Tuesday after its "superhuman" patience had been broken by the South firing shells into waters that the North claims as its own during an artillery drill.

Many South Koreans believe it is they who have been turning the other cheek.

Korea Policy Research Centre president Yo Ho-Yeol said: "Even until the Cheonan incident, public sentiment was still divided between criticising the North and criticising our own government's hardline stance (on the North).

"But this time it was clearly the North's military attack, which even caused civilian casualties.

"So now the public sentiment is clearly dominated by anger towards the North. And a majority of the public wants strong retaliation against the North upon any further provocation."

Daniel Pinkston, Seoul office head of think-tank the International Crisis Group, said: "The South has been pretty tolerant, but how much can you tolerate? I don't know what the red line is, but if you don't retaliate, this is giving a green light to North Korea."

Many people strongly support a joint US-South Korean naval exercise under way which is spearheaded by an American aircraft carrier, even as Pyongyang warned that the drill brought the Koreas closer to "the brink of war".

A rally against the drill outside a naval base drew just 20 activists Sunday, with protesters holding a banner that read: "Stop the Korea-US drill that causes a vicious cycle of retaliation and confrontation!"

Their numbers have been dwarfed by far larger anti-Pyongyang rallies.

A leading North Korea expert, Peter Beck, told AFP that it might be time for South Korea to consider military action beyond its limited response to the attack, when it lobbed back artillery but shied away from air strikes.

"This attack is different than the Cheonan sinking," said Beck, currently an international affairs fellow at Keio University in Tokyo.

"There is still at least a little ambiguity about what sank the Cheonan, but this artillery strike was not only a blatant violation of the armistice agreement, it was also against civilians.

"Therefore, Seoul should consider a retaliatory strike, either on the North Korean navy or on its nuclear facilities."

Many on the streets of Seoul feel the same way.

"We should not be afraid," said 77-year-old Cheon Sang-Yong, a veteran of the Korean and Vietnam wars who now works as a part-time waiter in a fast-food restaurant. "We should be prepared to fight back."

Military balance on the Korean peninsula
Seoul (AFP) Nov 28, 2010 - More than a million troops are massed around the tense Cold War-era frontier that has bisected the Korean peninsula since the 1950-53 conflict ended in a truce and not a peace treaty.

Tensions have repeatedly flared between the communist North and the US-allied South -- most recently when the North last week launched an artillery strike on an island in the South that killed two marines and two civilians.

The United States has kept a heavy military presence in South Korea since the end of the war, in which it led United Nations forces, and remains treaty-bound to defend the South in case of attack.

North Korea has massed most of its forces and weapons near the de-facto frontier, the 250-kilometre- (155-mile-) long and four-kilometre wide Demilitarised Zone (DMZ).

In the event of a conflict Pyongyang would be expected to unleash an artillery barrage on Seoul, just 40 kilometres to the south, and then seek to invade the capital of 10 million people with troops and tanks.

North Korea follows a "military-first" policy and is believed to spend 30 percent of its GDP on defence. It has the world's fifth largest army, but US and South Korean troops have more sophisticated weapons.

Pyongyang has staged two nuclear tests and fired several long-range missiles, but it is unclear whether it can make nuclear warheads for its missiles. It is also believed to have biological and chemical weapons.

Below are the comparative military strengths of the major forces:

NORTH KOREA:

Armed forces -- around 1.2 million plus 7.7 million reserves

Tanks -- 3,900

Armoured vehicles -- 2,100

Artillery and multiple rocket launchers -- 13,600

Combat aircraft -- 840

Warships -- 420

Submarines, including midgets -- 70

Missiles -- 1,000, some with a range of more than 3,000 kilometres (1,860 miles). It has also test-launched three intercontinental Taepodong missiles

Biochemical weapons -- estimated 2,500-5,000 tons of chemical weapons, suspected capability to weaponise anthrax, smallpox and cholera

Nuclear weapons -- Most estimates say North Korea has enough plutonium to build six to eight atomic weapons.

SOUTH KOREA:

Armed forces -- 655,000 (army 522,000, navy 68,000, air force 65,000) plus about 4.5 million reservists

Tanks -- 2,300

Armoured vehicles -- 2,400

Artillery and multiple rocket launchers -- 5,400

Combat aircraft -- 490

Warships -- 140

Submarines -- 10

Guided weapons -- 30

No nuclear weapons

US FORCES IN SOUTH KOREA:

Armed forces -- 28,000

Tanks -- 50

Armoured Vehicles -- 130

Combat aircraft -- 90

Attack helicopters -- 40

Patriot and other missiles -- 100

No US nuclear weapons based in South Korea

Source for figures: South Korea's latest Defence White Paper

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NUKEWARS
China calls for emergency talks on N.Korea
Beijing (AFP) Nov 28, 2010
China called Sunday for an emergency meeting in early December of envoys to the six-nation talks on North Korean nuclear disarmament amid high tensions on the Korean peninsula. It was China's most detailed response yet to the crisis sparked by North Korea's shelling of an island held by the South and came as retaliatory US-South Korean naval exercises criticised by Beijing got underway. ... read more


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