Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. 24/7 Space News .




CLIMATE SCIENCE
Slowdown in global warming only temporary: study
by Staff Writers
Paris (AFP) Aug 28, 2013


A slowing in global warming that climate sceptics say undermines the greenhouse theory is simply a "hiatus" from higher temperatures, scientists said on Wednesday.

Grasping one of the thorniest issues in climate politics, the researchers said the recent slowdown lies in a natural but temporary cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

"The current hiatus is part of natural climate variability," they said.

Similar events may occur again, but when assessed on a timescale of decades, "(the) warming trend is very likely to continue with greenhouse-gas increase," they said.

The question touches on an anomaly in climate science.

Contrary to earlier predictions, warming of Earth's surface in recent years has not occurred in lock-step with rising levels of heat-trapping gas in the atmosphere.

Over the last 50 years, temperatures have risen by an average of 0.12 degrees Celsius (0.21 degrees Fahrenheit) per decade.

But over the last 15 years, the increase has slowed to a rate of 0.05 C (0.09 F) per decade, even though fossil-fuel carbon emissions continue to break new records.

Skeptics have seized on the discrepancy as proof that if warming exists, it is not man-made but has natural causes such as fluctuations in solar heat.

The new study, published in the journal Nature, uses a climate model -- and not observed data, which is generally considered stronger -- to say the riddle is explained by ocean circulation.

Yu Kosaka and Shang-Ping Xie of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in California factored the heat into a model of the central and eastern tropical Pacific, a region covering about eight percent of the world's surface.

The cooling matches an unusually long, but natural, trend that is similar to La Nina, they said.

Under El Nino, a buildup of exceptionally warm water moves across from the west to the eastern Pacific. Under La Nina, things go into reverse, and the ocean in the eastern Pacific becomes cooler than normal. In both cases, extreme droughts or rainfall can result.

The ocean plays a huge role in the complex affair of global warming. It absorbs carbon dioxide (CO2) and heat at the surface and then shifts these around by tides and currents.

Previous investigations into the so-called climate "halt" have explored the idea that the missing heat is being taken up by the deep sea.

The new research, though, suggests otherwise, said Richard Allan, a meteorologist at Britain's University Reading, in an invited comment.

It highlights the importance of turnover in the vast body that is the Pacific, but at relatively shallow depth, "particularly the upper few hundred metres rather than the deep ocean below 1,000 metres (3,250 feet)," he said.

In a separate study, also published in Nature, Durham University scientists in northeastern England said parts of the East Antarctic icesheet -- the largest in the world -- could be more vulnerable to climate change than thought.

Geographers using declassified spy satellite imagery measured 175 "outlet" glaciers that disgorge ice on the coastline of Antarctica.

Their snapshot covered 5,400 kilometres (3,375 miles) of coastline from 1963 to 2012.

What surprised them was the glaciers' very fast response to periods of warming or cooling -- they rapidly retreated or accelerated in consequence, said lead investigator Chris Stokes.

"If the climate is going to warm in the future, our study shows that large parts of the margins of the East Antarctic ice sheet are vulnerable to the kinds of changes that are worrying us in Greenland and West -- acceleration, thinning and retreat," he said in a press release.

"When temperatures warm in the air or ocean, glaciers respond by retreating and this can have knock-on effects further inland, where more and more ice is drawn down to the coast."

Since 1750, the start of industrialisation, levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) have risen by 40 percent. Concentrations rose from 278 parts per million to 390.5ppm in 2011.

Earlier this year, a monitoring station in Hawaii briefly detected CO2 levels higher than 400ppm.

.


Related Links
Climate Science News - Modeling, Mitigation Adaptation






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








CLIMATE SCIENCE
The potential for successful climate predictions
Kiel, Germany (SPX) Aug 23, 2013
Will there be rather warm or cold winters in Germany in the coming years? We may have a long way to go before reliable forecasts of this kind can be achieved. However, marine scientists, under the auspices of the GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, recently managed to successfully hindcast climate shifts in the Pacific. These shifts also have a profound effect on the average g ... read more


CLIMATE SCIENCE
NASA Prepares for First Virginia Coast Launch to Moon

NASA Selects Launch Services Contract for OSIRIS-REx Mission

Environmental Controls Move Beyond Earth

Bad night's sleep? The moon could be to blame

CLIMATE SCIENCE
ASA Mars Rover Views Eclipse of the Sun by Phobos

International Space Agencies Outline Steps to Take Humans to Mars

Snapping Pictures of the Martian Moons

Mars Rover Opportunity Working at Edge of 'Solander'

CLIMATE SCIENCE
NASA awards nearly $1.5B in support contracts

NSBRI and NASA Reduce Space Radiation Risks by Soliciting for Center of Space Radiation Research

Next Generation of Explorers Takes the Stage

Has Voyager 1 Left The Solar System?

CLIMATE SCIENCE
China launches three experimental satellites

Medical quarantine over for Shenzhou-10 astronauts

China's astronauts ready for longer missions

Chinese probe reaches record height in space travel

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Cosmonauts Complete Spacewalk, Unfold Russian Flag in Space

Italian astronaut recounts spacewalk drowning terror

ISS Boosting Biological Research in Orbit

Japanese Cargo Craft Captured, Berthed to ISS

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Arianespace Launches EUTELSAT 25B/Es'hail 1 and GSAT 7

NASA Explores New Uses for Historic Launch Structures

Telemetry data confirms launch of South Korean satellite

ISRO pins hopes on GSLV-D5

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Waking up to a new year

Study: Planets might be 'born free' without a parent star

Distant planet sets speed record by orbiting its star every 8.5 hours

Kepler planet hunter spacecraft is beyond repair: NASA

CLIMATE SCIENCE
Creating a Secure, Private Internet and Cloud at the Tactical Edge

Sticking power of plant polyphenols used in new coatings

First Report of Real-Time Manipulation and Control of Nuclear Spin Noise

Lab-made complexes are "sun sponges"




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement