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NUKEWARS
NATO allies are Baltic states' eyes in the sky
by Staff Writers
Zokniai Air Base, Lithuania (AFP) March 27, 2010


Baltic states look to NATO for defence plans
Vilnius (AFP) March 27, 2010 - If push came to shove, what would NATO do for the Baltic states? Two decades after breaking from the crumbling Soviet Union, and six years since joining the trans-Atlantic alliance, minnows Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia may get an answer thanks to new military plans. The trio, with a total population of 6.8 million and a professional military of 20,500, have testy relations with their resurgent former master Russia. The Baltic states regained independence in 1991 after five decades under Moscow's rule. They joined NATO and the European Union in 2004. They stress that improving ties with Russia is by far their preferred option. "I don't think a Cold War situation is profitable to anybody," said Lithuanian President Dalia Grybauskaite.

But in interviews with AFP, she and other officials welcomed 28-nation NATO's closed-door drafting of plans for their region -- developed for older members during the Cold War but largely off the radar since then. "It's not because we're afraid of anybody, but we'd like to have the same treatment, the same application of Article Five, and the same security as all member states have," Grybauskaite said. Article Five of NATO's 1949 founding treaty dubs an attack against one member an attack against the rest. Estonian Defence Minister Jaak Aaviksoo said no one doubts collective security is fundamental to NATO. "But when you have a group of friends, and some are old friends and some are not that old, you have to tell the younger buddies that they have to feel the same," he added.

The concrete details remain secret. "We can say at this stage that we're satisfied," Grybauskaite said, declining further comment. Baltic jitters rose after Russia's 2008 war with ex-Soviet Georgia, as well as Moscow's recent affirmation in its military doctrine that NATO's expansion is a threat. "We are part of that NATO enlargement," said Lithuanian Defence Minister Rasa Jukneviciene. She spotlighted war games last September by Russia and Belarus near the Baltic states. Involving more than 12,000 troops, over 200 tanks, 470 other armoured vehicles and 100 aircraft, they were the largest in the region for 25 years.

The Baltic trio have chided some European allies for sidelining their concerns, for example faulting France's planned warship sale to Russia. Moscow only withdrew its troops from their territory in 1994. "This is not a long time ago. Because of that, people have live memories of the presence of Soviet troops," Latvian Defence Minister Imants Liegis said. "Joining NATO and the EU placed us in a totally different security situation, and one that we'd never experienced before in our history," he said. However, he added: "The reassurance issue is very important." Lithuanian defence analyst Aleksandras Matonis pointed to "caveats" imposed by some European allies on their troops' role in Afghanistan -- where the Baltic trio's 580 soldiers last year won praise from NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen for "punching above their weight".

"That shows some of the potential problems of a practical reliance on Article Five," Matonis said. For Polish defence minister turned pundit, Janusz Onyszkiewicz, planning has a symbolic role too: "The very existence of contingency plans would have a certain deterrent effect." Currently, NATO's only full-time Baltic commitment is an airspace patrol -- the trio lack the planes to do it. "We don't just want support and assistance," said Estonian chief of staff Lieutenant General Ants Laaneots. "It's our problem that we're small. But we're doing our best to be an equal partner and to participate equally in the defence-building process in NATO. For that reason, I hope that the other parties in NATO are ready to support us," he added.

Colonel Sebastien Vallette swings back in his desk chair, minutes after landing his Mirage fighter on a Soviet-era runway.

A detailed map on his wall shows Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, flanked by bold warnings: "Do Not Enter Russian Airspace".

For six years, NATO allies have taken turns patrolling the airspace of the three Baltic states, minnows which won freedom from the crumbling Soviet Union in 1991 and have testy ties with Moscow.

Vallette and six other French flyers under his command are the current eyes in the sky.

"The point about airspace sovereignty is to know who's doing what in it," Vallette told AFP at Zokniai, a huge, mostly-mothballed facility in northern Lithuania where 20,000 Red Army troops were once based.

"It's a combination of deterrence, protection, prevention and assistance," he added.

Vallette acknowledged Baltic history is "complicated", but rejected suggestions his job is about warning the resurgent Kremlin, which only withdrew its forces in 1994.

"Everyone wants to put Russia in focus, but there isn't a special focus," he insisted. "All countries conduct surveillance in their national airspace. There isn't a concept of a particular threat."

The Baltic trio joined NATO on March 29, 2004. The air patrols began immediately.

Most members of the 28-nation, trans-Atlantic alliance cover their own skies. But Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia are small and cash-strapped.

"It's not a good idea to have a void airspace above NATO territory. It's a matter of principle. Wherever it is. Voids are always a temptation," said Estonian Defence Minister Jaak Aaviksoo.

The trio's total population is 6.8 million, and their professional military, 20,500. They have 580 troops in Afghanistan, winning praise from NATO chief Anders Fogh Rasmussen for "punching above their weight".

Their air forces total 1,550 personnel and 35 aircraft, mostly helicopters and transporters.

"There's also a symbolic value in addition to the purely technical control of air borders," said Aaviksoo. "This is an indication of solidarity".

His Lithuanian counterpart Rasa Jukneviciene underscored that: "It's about 'NATO visibility'".

The Baltic states together pay 100,000 euros (133,000 dollars) a month, or 10 percent of operation costs. The patrolling state meets the rest.

The patrol mandate runs until 2014 but the trio are trying to get it extended.

"The indications about 2018 are pretty positive," said Latvian Defence Minister Imants Liegis. NATO member Norway is helping draft a post-2018 plan, which could involve creating a small joint Baltic air force.

"The air mission is the only allied footprint on the territory of the Baltic states," noted Lithuanian defence analyst Aleksandras Matonis. "It has no military meaning. But it has political substance".

The French served a first four-month stint in 2007 and are due back in 2011. Belgium, Britain, the Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Spain, Turkey and the United States have also taken part.

Vallette's 140-strong contingent -- it includes ground crew -- took over from the Germans on January 4 and gives way to the Poles on May 1.

Two fighters make joint routine sorties twice a day, lasting an hour and a half and mostly involving simple observation.

But the fighters can scramble any time to make visual contact with planes whose communications have gone offline, and may escort them out.

Russian aircraft bound for Moscow's Kaliningrad territory, west of Lithuania, have strayed into the Baltic states' skies without permission. The line between navigational error and "buzzing" can be fine.

"There's a kind of mutual understanding that means there isn't an escalation," said Vallette.

earlier related report
NATO chief urges 'paper tiger' Europe to boost defence spending
Brussels (AFP) March 27, 2010 - NATO secretary general Anders Fogh Rasmussen on Saturday urged "paper tiger" Europe to ramp up investment in a costly missile defence umbrella.

The alliance chief's remarks at a security conference in Brussels were largely aimed at the likes of EU heavyweights Germany, Italy and Spain, who fall substantially short of NATO military spending targets.

Britain and France, whose budgets are under ferocious pressure over the coming years having dug deep in a bid to insulate citizens from the worst economic slump since the 1930s, were also clearly in the Dane's sights.

"The Lisbon treaty provides the EU with a stronger defence and security policy dimension," said Rasmussen.

"But this will remain a paper tiger if it is not followed up by concrete military contributions when we need military contributions.

"Missile defence might be one key area whereby the Europeans can demonstrate such commitment... and also demonstrate to the American public that the alliance is relevant," he underlined.

Rasmussen's call, which echoes that of predecessors in the post down the years at key points in the development of all significant defence projects, is intended to keep defence spending among top priorities for nations often beset by large public deficits and debts.

He said that a decision to "invest in a comprehensive missile defence system" would send a powerful "political signal."

Rasmussen told his audience that a NATO summit in November represents a deadline for allies to fix plans to construct an integrated missile defence shield ideally stretching from Vancouver to Vladivostok.

Research has suggested that such a "security roof," as Rasmussen called it, could cost upwards of 20 billion dollars (15 billion euros) to build.

The most recently-available NATO figures for member states' defence spending, covering 2008, show Berlin, Rome and Madrid's respective percentages coming in well below NATO's stated goal of two percent of national output or GDP.

Germany, Italy and Spain are each on 1.3 percent.

Britain and France are both above the line, on 2.2 percent and 2.3 percent respectively, but Britain has the highest public deficit in Europe, equal to Greece at 12.7 percent of output, and France's military spending is seen as inflated by a heavy pensions element.

Greece was one of NATO's highest spenders proportionately in 2008, with 2.8 percent of output going on defence, but Athens has been forced by Brussels into radical spending cuts right across the board.

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Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com






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