Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. 24/7 Space News .




SPACEWAR
Geopolitical amateur hour
by Arnaud De Borchgrave
Washington DC (UPI) May 16, 2014


Before we plunge ourselves into Cold War II, it would behoove us to remember what Russia under Putin means to our geopolitical calculus.

Putin's Russia is still supplying the U.S. with its only means of transportation to the international space station, the one area where the two nations still enjoy a close working relationship. But the latest crisis in US-Russian relations prompted Moscow to announce that this crowning achievement of Russian-US cooperation would end in 2020. The original agreement was good through 2024.

The space station is a football field-sized, $100 billion multinational achievement made up of interlocking modules from U.S., Russian, Japanese and European segments.

Since the forced retreat of NASA's space shuttle program in 2011, NASA relies on Russia to ferry astronauts and supplies to the International Space Station (ISS), continuously inhabited since Expedition I docked in 2000. Subsequent flights and docking are scheduled through 2015.

The U.S. pays Russia the $70 million fare per astronaut to the ISS.

By air and by rail, Putin and his geopolitical advisers have also facilitated the U.S. withdrawal of fighters and equipment from Afghanistan.

When the Soviets fought a decade-long guerrilla war in Afghanistan the U.S. supplied the Mujahideen guerrillas with a devastating anti-aircraft weapon -- the Stinger missile -- that grounded the Soviet Air Force and sealed the Kremlin's defeat.

The last Soviet troops pulled out of Afghanistan Feb. 15, 1989. Nine months later, the Berlin wall fell, the beginning of the end of the Soviet empire. It was Moscow's Vietnam.

A minority of foreign policy experts in the U.S. and Europe said it would be a tragic mistake to treat Russia as a defeated superpower. Instead, they said, Russia should be hailed as a victorious nation for having defeated Communism and then launched a major effort to free East European satellite nations and democratize Russia.

President H.W. Bush (41), from 1989 through 1994, carefully avoided Cold War victory rhetoric even though he was one of its principal architects. Bush 43, from (2001-09), had no such inhibitions, and led the U.S., the world's dominant superpower, into two wars.

From the flight deck of the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln, Bush 43, clad in fighter pilot flight suit, declared victory in Iraq, a war based on the alleged imperative need to get rid of Saddam Hussein and his non-existent arsenal of weapons of mass destruction.

Nuclear weapons evidence, the casus belli for the Iraq war, came from an Iraqi army deserter who had made his way to Germany and then refused to move on to the U.S. Later he conceded he had concocted WMD evidence to be reunited with his German girlfriend.

The lie wound up costing the U.S. $1 trillion from 2003-2011, along with 4,800 KIA and 31,965 WIA, excluding several hundred billion dollars for the long-term care and rehabilitation of the severely wounded.

The Afghan war, this far, is also up at $1 trillion with little prospect of victory before the self-imposed exit at the end of this year. An Afghan government friendly to the U.S. will need a minimum of $7 billion a year to sustain the military effort and keep Taliban at bay.

This planned scenario, bolstered by 10,000 U.S. troops for an unspecified period, is eerily reminiscent of what happened in South Vietnam after the U.S. military withdrawal. No sooner did the U.S. Congress cut further military assistance to South Vietnam than our allies collapsed and the North Vietnamese enemy drove into Saigon -- and changed the capital city's name to Ho Chi Minh, the general who defeated both France and the U.S. and died at 79 in 1969.

Ignoring the lessons of history, dominant voices in the West couldn't resist humiliating Russia as a defeated superpower and pushing NATOs frontiers ever closer to the former enemy. This, in turn, fed long-held Russian fears of encirclement.

But Vladimir Putin was in no hurry. Russia's new Czar, a former KGB colonel in East Germany during the tail end of the Cold War, was biding his time to get even with the American superpower.

Putin's decision to reintegrate Crimea in mother Russia -- once handed by Nikita Khrushchev to Ukraine at the end of a long liquid evening -- was a bold move regarded by most Russians as long overdue.

Are we really in a position to be dictating what Russia -- i.e., Putin -- can and cannot do? He and his topsider cohorts are cognizant of our dysfunctional system that led us into two unnecessary wars that achieved precisely the opposite of what was intended.

Following the insecurity of Pakistan's routes to the Arabian Sea, Russia supplied guaranteed air and land routes (to Baltic ports) in and out of Afghanistan for US and allied forces.

For the U.S. and its allies the anticipated end of the Afghan involvement makes for grim reading in the 23rd quarterly report to Congress on U.S. reconstruction efforts.

SIGAR -- Special Inspector General for Afghan Reconstruction John Sopko -- has blown the whistle on a looming disaster. "Afghan revenues in 2014 could cover as little as a third of the country's $7.5 billion budget," Sopko said.

The decline "comes at a time when dozens of reconstruction projects and their associated operations and maintenance are being turned over to the Afghan government," says SIGAR.

This Special Inspector General has blown the whistle and cried foul in almost every report to Congress. Corruption undermines everything the U.S. is attempting to leave behind to help a new Afghanistan stand on its own feet -- and defend itself against a Taliban biding its time until the final U.S. exit.

.


Related Links
Military Space News at SpaceWar.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








SPACEWAR
Russia Launches Military Satellite Into Orbit
Moscow (RIA Novosti) May 14, 2014
Russia on Tuesday launched a carrier rocket from its northern Plesetsk space center to put a military satellite in orbit, the Defense Ministry said. A Soyuz-2.1a rocket carrying a classified military satellite lifted off on schedule at 5.49 p.m. Moscow time (13:49 GMT), according to Col. Alexei Zolotukhin, a spokesman for Russia's Aerospace Defense Forces. It was the second launch of ... read more


SPACEWAR
LRO View of Earth

Saturn in opposition tonight, will appear next to the moon

Russia to begin Moon colonization in 2030

Astrobotic Partners With NASA To Develop Robotic Lunar Landing Capability

SPACEWAR
MAVEN Solar Wind Ion Analyzer Will Look at Key Player in Mars Atmosphere Loss

Against the current with lava flows

Opportunity In Search Of Aluminum-Hydroxyl Clays

NASA wants greenhouse on Mars by 2021

SPACEWAR
A light-speed voyage to the distant future

US spacecraft enters giant asteroid's orbit

Chris Hadfield's 'Space Oddity' video to be taken off YouTube

'Convergent' Research Solves Problems that Cross Disciplinary Boundaries

SPACEWAR
Moon rover Yutu comes closer to public

The Phantom Tiangong

New satellite launch center to conduct joint drill

China issues first assessment on space activities

SPACEWAR
Botanical Studies, Dragon Departure Preps for ISS Crew

NASA hopes to continue cooperation with Russia on ISS

Three astronauts land back on Earth in Soyuz capsule

Expedition 39 Trio Wrapping Up Six Months on Station

SPACEWAR
SpaceX supply capsule heads back to Earth

Replacing Russian-made rocket engines is not easy

Pre-launch processing begins for the O3b Networks satellites

US sanctions against Russia had no effect on International Launch Services

SPACEWAR
Giant telescope tackles orbit and size of exoplanet

Odd planet, so far from its star

New Exomoon Hunting Technique Could Find Solar System-like Moons

Length of Exoplanet Day Measured for First Time

SPACEWAR
Glasses-free 3-D projector

'Wolfenstein' videogame a Nazi-fighting adventure

Spiders spin possible solution to 'sticky' problems

Space junk problem discussed




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.