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CLIMATE SCIENCE
Gear shift needed to meet climate pact deadline: observers
by Staff Writers
Bonn (AFP) Oct 26, 2014


Deep rifts remain at UN talks on global climate pact
Bonn (AFP) Oct 25, 2014 - With a 2015 deadline looming large for a global pact on curbing climate change, six days of UN talks closed in Bonn on Saturday with delegates and observers deflated over a lack of progress.

Rifts over responsibilities for galloping emissions of Earth-warming fossil fuels remain deeply entrenched, they said, preventing detailed negotiations on a new agreement.

The meeting of senior officials in the former West German capital was meant to lay the groundwork for December's round of ministerial-level UN talks in Lima, where a draft of the deal must be outlined for adoption in Paris a year later.

It was also intended to start identifying what information countries will be required to submit when they lodge their pledges for curbing emissions.

A long list of speakers complained at Saturday's closing session of an opportunity lost.

Ecuador's negotiator Walter Schuldt, on behalf of a group of 30-odd Like-Minded Developing Countries that include major polluters India and China, said they were "thoroughly dissatisfied" with the outcome.

"We lost valuable negotiating time this week with open-ended discussions," he said -- a sentiment echoed by African and Arab countries, among others that had hoped for more detailed bartering.

Countries remain divided on such fundamentals as the legal form that the 2015 agreement will take, whether there will be different levels of obligation for rich and poor nations, and how to assess whether national carbon curbing pledges are enough, combined, to avoid the worst climate change scenarios.

Many said the Bonn meeting merely restated well-known country positions on how responsibility for climate action must be shared, instead of discussing details like funding to help poor countries shift to less polluting fuels and adapt to change that can no longer be avoided.

"We will clearly have our work cut out for us in Lima," said Ronald Jumeau, spokesman for the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) -- countries at high risk from rising sea levels induced by climate change.

And he warned "there won't be an adequate deal unless" developed countries give details soon of financial and expert support.

The meeting's co-chairman Artur Runge-Metzger closed the session by urging negotiators "to redouble your efforts in preparations" for Lima.

And he announced that two additional meetings will be held next year, besides the usual June gathering in Bonn, to allow more time for negotiations.

- 'Panic' setting in -

"We're leaving Bonn with not much more clarity than when we arrived on how we will get the key decisions needed in Lima to confront the threat of climate change," said Alden Meyer of the US-based Union of Concerned Scientists.

"From floods and droughts to hurricanes, typhoons and heat waves, we are already suffering the consequences of our past inaction. We need to see much more rapid progress in Lima."

The Paris pact will be the first to unite rich and poor countries under a common legal commitment to curb Earth-warming fossil fuel emissions.

This, in turn, will seek to limit average global warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over pre-Industrial Revolution levels.

Scientists warn that on current trends, Earth could experience double the targeted warming limit -- a recipe for potentially catastrophic damage to the climate system -- yet emissions continue to rise.

The most anticipated outcome from Bonn had been progress on the "information decision", guiding nations in their emissions pledges -- things like which gases will be cut, by how much, and over what period.

This must be finalised by Lima to give countries enough time to present their offers by a loose deadline of the first quarter of 2015.

Nations will have to roll up their sleeves and make important compromises to meet the deadline, just 14 months off, for a global pact on curbing climate change, observers say.

Worrying signs of obstinance emerged from six days of UN talks in Bonn which ended Saturday.

Experts said those discussions fell short of their goal to set parameters for a ministerial-level drafting meeting in Lima in December for a deal to be inked the following year.

"There are some danger signals about the way we're coming out of here. We're not as far along as I'd hoped we would be," Alden Meyer of the US-based Union of Concerned Scientists told AFP.

"Some of those visions that are on the table, quite frankly, are not compatible... two opposite views of the world. Choices are going to have to be made."

The six-day talks in the former West German capital ended with nations still divided loosely along developed-developing country lines on the most fundamental aspects of who will be required to do what to halt the march towards dangerous levels of climate change.

They agree the best tool is to curb Earth-warming fossil fuel emissions, which requires an expensive shift to less-polluting energy sources.

But poorer nations, many of them facing the highest risks from a predicted increase in climate change-induced sea-level rise, floods and droughts, insist the developed world must bear greater responsibility given their longer history of emissions dating back to the Industrial Revolution.

Rich countries, in turn, point the finger to countries like India and China, which are now among the major emitters as coal powers their economic development.

And these are issues many wished had been resolved by now, so that actual bartering can start on the text of the agreement that must enter into force by 2020 to meet the goal of limiting warming to two degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) from pre-industrial levels.

"The talks here can't fairly be called negotiations. They were discussions, sharing of views, but no actual elbows on table dealing with text. I can't see how they'll pull the elements together if they continue like this," said Meena Raman of the Third World Network NGO.

- Missed opportunity -

The most anticipated outcome from Bonn had been progress on detailing what information nations will have to provide when they pledge emissions curbs -- things like which gases must be cut, by how much, and over what period.

A deadline for pledges, the building blocks for the Paris pact, has been set for the first quarter of 2015, for those countries that are able to do so.

Many felt that a draft negotiating text adapted during the course of the Bonn negotiations represented a step backwards, however, watering down a reference to the need to assess whether national pledges, combined, were sufficient to meet the 2 C goal.

"This draft completely changes the purpose of INDCs (intended nationally determined contributions) from being the contribution of each country to meet the ultimate objective... to what each country could minimally do," commented the Climate Action Network of NGOs.

"Everything is left to the objectivity of countries."

In terms of the Paris pact, which Bonn negotiators were also meant to start fine-tuning, countries remain divided on such fundamentals as what should be in it, whether it would be internationally binding, and whether the same rules would apply to all.

"Governments... missed an opportunity to shift gears in negotiations towards the global Paris agreement on climate change due at the end of next year," said Mohamed Adow of Christian Aid, a development charity that closely follows the talks.

The meeting's co-chairman Artur Runge-Metzger urged negotiators Saturday to "redouble" their efforts, and announced two additional meetings for next year, besides the usual June gathering in Bonn, to prepare for Paris.

The first will be held in Geneva from February 8-13, and the other in the second half of the year.

Many negotiators and observers believe the very format of negotiations should change from posturing in big, joint gatherings, to smaller, informal groups hammering out details.

"I think if they continue doing everything in this one group, they're literally going to run out of time. There are so many different issues and so many different options on the table," Meyer said.

Added Raman: "Many developing countries have been calling for text-based negotiations since March this year -- it needs to happen now. They need to break out and get their pens out and actually cross out text or scribble new text in the margins."

Developing nations also argue that a breakdown in trust can be repaired, at least partly, by rich countries putting money on the table at a pledging conference of the Green Climate Fund in Berlin in November.

EU leaders seal landmark 2030 climate deal
Brussels (AFP) Oct 24, 2014 - European Union leaders agreed Friday what they hailed as the world's most ambitious climate change targets for 2030, paving the way for a new UN-backed global treaty next year.

The 28 leaders overcame deep divisions at a summit in Brussels to reach a deal including a commitment to cut greenhouse gas emissions by at least 40 percent compared to 1990 levels.

They also agreed on 27 percent targets for renewable energy supply and efficiency gains, in spite of reservations from some member states about the cost of the measures.

"Deal! At least 40 percent emissions cut by 2030. World's most ambitious, cost-effective, fair EU 2030 climate energy policy agreed," EU president Herman Van Rompuy tweeted.

The EU wanted to agree on the targets ahead of a summit in Paris in November and December 2015, where it is hoped the world will agree to a new phase of the Kyoto climate accords which run until 2020.

The agreement puts the EU "in the driving seat" ahead of the Paris conference, European Commission head Jose Manuel Barroso said.

Environmental groups complained that the deal did not go far enough to cut global warming.

- Late-night talks -

The European leaders haggled late into the night amid a split between richer, greener nations and poorer countries that depend heavily on fossil fuels or on gas from Russia.

Poland had previously threatened to veto a deal, fearing that its near complete reliance on coal would have made it prohibitively expensive to meet the targets.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande had talks with Polish premier Eva Kovacsz on the sidelines of the summit in a bid to talk her round.

Merkel, whose country is a leader in renewables, said the deal would "give Europe a voice and a negotiation position in the international climate talks."

The accord also promotes new interconnection links between member states allowing them to export up to 15 percent of their power output when they are in surplus and import up to 15 percent when they are in deficit.

Van Rompuy said these interconnection links were a key part of developing the EU's energy market and would provide insurance against supply disruption.

Van Rompuy cited both the Ukraine crisis and turmoil in the Middle East as good reason for the EU to act now to bolster its energy security.

- Builds on 2020 targets -

The climate deal builds on the EU's targets for 2020 of a 20 percent cut in greenhouse gases, blamed for global warming, a 20 percent boost in renewables such as solar and wind power and a 20 increase in energy efficiency.

While the new 40 percent target for greenhouse gases and 27 percent for renewables agreed Friday were as expected, a 30 percent goal for an increase in energy efficiency set in July by the Commission was watered down to 27 percent.

Environment group Greenpeace said the EU had "pulled the handbrake on clean energy".

"These targets are too low, slowing down efforts to boost renewable energy and keeping Europe hooked on polluting and expensive fuel," it said

British-based humanitarian group Oxfam called for targets of 55 percent in emissions cuts, 40 percent for energy savings and 45 percent for renewables.

The EU meanwhile named Christos Stylianides of Cyprus as the bloc's coordinator to fight the Ebola disease which has claimed nearly 4,900 lives in west Africa.

Stylianides is the incoming EU commissioner for humanitarian aid.

British Prime Minister David Cameron said that other EU nations "need to do more" than the nearly 600 million euros ($750 million) they have currently pledged to fight the virus.

The leaders were set to discuss the Ukraine crisis although any progress is unlikely as an EU review on the ceasefire between Kiev and pro-Moscow rebels is not due until next Tuesday.

They will search for ways on Friday to foster economic growth and jobs amid fears of a triple-dip recession.


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