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NUKEWARS
Europe shares credit for Obama's Iran vote victory
By Andrew BEATTY
Washington (AFP) Sept 3, 2015


Iran speaker expects heated debate on nuclear deal
New York (AFP) Sept 3, 2015 - Iran's parliament speaker on Thursday said he expected a raucous debate in the Iranian legislature over approval of the nuclear deal which he said could unleash more drama than in the US Congress.

Ali Larijani, who backs the agreement reached with the West, declined to say whether he believed lawmakers in the majlis would, in the end, support the deal.

"I think maybe the drama in my country will be bigger than that in yours," Larijani told reporters in New York where he was attending a world conference of parliamentary speakers.

"There is one thing that I am sure of, and that is that there will be heated discussions and debate in the Iranian parliament."

Iranian supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said earlier that parliament should vote on the agreement that provides for lifting sanctions on Iran in exchange for rolling back Iran's nuclear program.

On Wednesday, US President Barack Obama won enough backing in Congress to ensure that he can override with his veto power any vote rejecting the Iran deal.

Last month, the majlis announced the makeup of a 15-member panel largely composed of conservative lawmakers to review the historic deal.

Larjani suggested that their findings in the coming weeks could set the tone for the parliament debate.

"We have to wait and see what kind of decision that committee will take and what the results will be," he said.

- Serious faults in the deal -

The speaker stressed that there were strong voices opposed to the nuclear deal in parliament.

"There are people who have found serious and major faults with the agreement", he said.

Among the grievances are the "snapback mechanism" that would allow the West to re-impose sanctions on Iran if it violates the deal and the strict surveillance regime put in place to ensure compliance.

"The sanctions can return," he said, but "for us this is not possible. We cannot go back to the situation that we were in."

"Once you remove the core of the Arak reactor, you cannot put it back. That is impossible," he said. The Arak reactor will be redesigned under the deal to address concerns about its enrichment capabilities.

"Overall it was a good deal because Iran also achieved some of its goals," he said.

The opposition-controlled US House of Representatives will vote on the Iran deal next week and it will then move on to the Senate.

The United States along with Britain, China, France, Russia and Germany -- the P5 plus one -- clinched the deal with Iran in July after more than three years of negotiations to address Western concerns that Iran was developing a nuclear bomb.

Tehran has steadfastly denied the claims and argued that its nuclear capabilities were for civilian use.

White House arm-twisting may have secured the votes to force the Iran nuclear deal through a hostile Congress, but European ambassadors in Washington are getting credit for playing an outsized role.

In the stifling heat of early August in Washington, ambassadors from Britain, France, Germany as well as Russia and China sat down with around 30 Democratic Senators who held the fate of the landmark deal in their hands.

The envoys from disparate countries had united to bring one message: Don't kill this deal.

"It's not often you hear those five ambassadors all saying they agree with each other," said one British diplomat present. "I think the demonstration of unity behind this deal was really striking."

The collective presence of four high-profile figures -- Britain's Peter Westmacott, Germany's Peter Wittig, France's Gerard Araud, as well as the EU ambassador David O'Sullivan -- would come to be a feature of European lobbying efforts.

Since an interim agreement was signed with Iran on July 14, European officials had begun to fear an historic opportunity to curb Tehran's nuclear program -- in return for sanctions relief -- would fall victim to US domestic politics.

The Republican controlled Congress would almost certainly vote to reject the agreement, and Obama would certainly veto that rejection.

What the White House and the European nations needed was enough votes in favor -- one third in either the House of Representatives or the Senate -- to uphold Obama's veto.

- 'A powerful formula' -

"It was concerning for us that the deal could be prevented from being implemented by a Congressional vote," said the British diplomat, "pretty quickly we wanted to be out there explaining why it was important to us."

Each embassy would have their own lobbying effort: Westmacott alone spoke to 45 members of Congress.

But they often found it useful to forge a collective front.

"Once you realize the formula worked, that the four ambassadors sitting down with the same Senator or group of Senators is a powerful formula, then you deploy it as much as you can," said one senior European diplomat.

"If you look at the four people involved, they have very different personalities, but they actually make up an impressive high-caliber group."

Each brought their own experience: Westmacott and his deputy had previously served in Tehran, Wittig and Araud were ambassadors at the United Nations and O'Sullivan had spent three decades as a power player in the choppy waters of Brussels, trying to unify competing agendas within the EU.

They quickly pinpointed individual Senators and Congressmen who could be persuaded, or could bring along another couple of votes.

But, another European diplomat said, "once it became understood that we were out there we were actually approached by staffers and the officers of Congressmen and Senators to ask for our view."

Sometimes the task was to provide technical details, other times it was to shoot down the notion the Europeans were acting on behalf of the White House.

"There was some suggestion that the reason you have the four ambassadors trotting around the Hill was because the White House picked up the phone," said one diplomat. "It was in our interest. It was our duty to sell the deal."

"Obviously we would compare notes with them sometimes... but it was very much on our own back," said a British diplomat.

Part of the envoys' task was also to dispel the notion that Paris, London and Berlin would never reimpose sanctions if Iran cheats.

"We were really keen to say 'yes we would, and actually we have implemented sanctions more recently and taken more of an economic hit and we are ready to do it again'."

- 'No, seriously' -

But the most forceful argument -- and the one cited by eventual deal supporters Senators Bob Casey, Chris Coons, Barbara Boxer and Kirsten Gillibrand -- was the lack of alternatives.

"We had the opportunity to say 'no, seriously, this is the best option," said the British diplomat.

"'We've had our top people on it for a very long time now... you are not going to see Iran come back to the table, you won't see international unity and pressure like we have.'"

It was about "striking down that idea that if Congress said no to this we'd all just kind of shrug our shoulders and say 'back to Vienna it is then'."

British Ambassador Peter Westmacott recalled: "The more I spoke to members of Congress, the clearer it became that there were good answers to their questions and concerns, and that although the deal is not perfect, there is no better way of preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons."

While difficult to quantify the role the European lobbying effort played in securing the 34 votes needed to uphold Obama's veto, a US administration official praised it as helpful.

They "underscored the point that the world was united behind this deal. And that any attempts to scuttle it would have tremendous implications for our standing in the world."

"It was fanciful to think that the coalition would come back together if the United States scuttled it."


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Netanyahu defends Iran deal fight after Obama secures support
Jerusalem (AFP) Sept 3, 2015
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu defended Thursday his high-profile campaign to defeat the Iran nuclear deal after President Barack Obama secured enough backing to keep Congress from blocking it. Netanyahu has repeatedly spoken out strongly against the agreement between Iran and six major powers aimed at rolling back the Islamic republic's nuclear programme, even appearing before Co ... read more


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