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Heightened Risk Of Hurricanes This Year: Analysts
A website that specialises in storm forecasts warned on Wednesday that the Atlantic may face a major hurricane season this year, although the typhoon season in the Northwest Pacific would probably be just above average. Tropical Storm Risk, a site created by British scientists and sponsored by the insurance industry, predicted that, on the basis of current and projected climate data, the hurricane season would be 160 percent above average in terms of numbers. This translates into 14 tropical storms for the Atlantic basin as a whole, with eight of these developing into hurricanes and four developing into "intense hurricanes." Four storms, two of them hurricanes, are likely to make landfall in the United States, it said. "It does look like it will be another busy and damaging year for hurricanes," lead scientist Mark Saunders told AFP. Hurricanes are the most expensive natural disaster in the United States . The average annual insured loss from hurricane strikes, from 1950-2004, when costed at 2004 values, is 3.0 billion dollars, the website said. The Northwest Pacific typhoon season is rated "slightly above average," which translates into 28 tropical storms for the region as a whole, 18 of which would be typhoons and nine "intense" typhoons. The scientific skills for Tropical Storm Risk come from the Benfield Hazard Research Centre at University College London. The Atlantic hurricane seasons runs from June 1 to November 30, but most of the storms, and the most damaging ones, occur from August onwards. Tropical Storm Risk will issue an update a month from now, which will be followed on August 4 by a forecast of the post-August hurricane risk, Saunders said. That forecast will be based on a new statistical tool which looks at anomalies in wind patterns in the early summer that are considered to be telltales about how the later season develops. All rights reserved. � 2005 Agence France-Presse. Sections of the information displayed on this page (dispatches, photographs, logos) are protected by intellectual property rights owned by Agence France-Presse. As a consequence, you may not copy, reproduce, modify, transmit, publish, display or in any way commercially exploit any of the content of this section without the prior written consent of Agence France-Presse. Related Links Tropical Storm Risk SpaceDaily Search SpaceDaily Subscribe To SpaceDaily Express 
Weatherman's Monsoon Talk Says It All In Agriculture-Dependent India
Bangalore, India (AFP) Jun 05, 2005Prashant Goswami at this time of year has farmers, government officials, global investors, stock market players and economists hanging on his every word - provided he's making monsoon talk.
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